It’s only the fourth meeting at Maddingley Park in seven seasons, but this Round 9 clash carries huge weight for both Sebastopol and Bacchus Marsh as the competition approaches the halfway mark.

Tony Lockyer’s Burra have been encouraging in the midfield numbers—matching the Cobras for disposals, clearances and contested possessions—but have converted that into just one win.

This weekend offers a prime chance to turn stats into wins.

For the Cobras, a finals berth remains close—their first since 2018—but they simply cannot afford slip-ups against fellow contenders.

Wins against teams like Sebastopol are the building blocks of a sustainable finals push.

The ruck duel looms as a telling battle.

Luke Goetz leads the league with the Cobras on an average of 81 hit-outs per game, to the Burra’s 36.

Sebastopol must scramble second-phase contests and make every clearance count to disrupt Goetz’s supply.

Inside 50s will also be critical.

Bacchus Marsh will look to target Jake Owen, while the Burra will aim to feed Cooper Littlehales.

The side that wins the early entries and capitalises on scoring opportunities will have the edge.

A win for Sebastopol could reignite their flag hopes.

For Bacchus Marsh, four points here would provide vital breathing room inside the top six. Expect intensity, stoppage pressure, and a fight for every ball.

Tip: Bacchus Marsh

With just two rounds left before the midpoint of the season, the stakes are high as third-placed Melton host second-placed Sunbury in what could be a defining clash for the top end of the ladder.

Both sides sit on 24 points, but it's the Lions' mammoth percentage—almost 50% higher than the Bloods—that has them on the edge of top spot.

The last meeting between these two at Macpherson Park saw Melton dismantle the Lions by 77 points.

But with Sunbury riding a six-game winning streak and in elite form, a repeat performance from the reigning premiers won’t come easy.

A key matchup to watch will be the forward shootout between Jake Sutton and Braeden Kight.

Sutton, the league’s equal leading goalkicker in 2025, is averaging nearly four majors a game and looms large as a match-winner.

Kight, on the other hand, was dominant last time these sides met—booting five goals alongside Jordan Kight’s four in a complete forward clinic.

Troy Scoble’s men continue to find plenty of entries inside 50, but their accuracy has left room for improvement.

Against a ruthless Sunbury side who have converted their chances better than anyone in the competition, inefficiency could prove costly.

Finishing strongly will also be vital.

Sunbury leads the league for both points scored and least points conceded in final quarters, while Melton has only managed to win two last terms all season.

If the Bloods find themselves in a tight one late, they'll need to dig deep to hold off the fast-finishing Lions.

Momentum is with Sunbury, but Melton's pedigree in big games can’t be overlooked.

They’ve shown time and again their ability to lift when it matters most.

Expect a finals-like intensity and a game that could reshape the upper tier of the ladder in weeks to come.

Tip: Melton

The battle of the black and white is a fierce rivalry, the two meeting no fewer than seven times in just the past two years.

And with six of their last 12 encounters decided by 21 points or less, punters can expect another tight battle this weekend.

The Roosters will take confidence from their recent home form against the Devils, winning the past three at Mars Stadium.

With finals now in a much more realistic view and just two points separating them from the top six, this clash looms large for North.

The return of Cam McCallum in the ruck adds crucial experience, especially against Darley’s rising star Lucas Impey, who is averaging 55 hit outs per game.

North’s ability to win clearances should only be strengthened by McCallum’s presence, while Denver Grainger-Barras’ move forward could be a game changer, with a five-goal haul last week showcasing his influence.

Accuracy will be key—Darley have set the benchmark in front of goal this season, and the Roosters must take full advantage of their opportunities.

Statistically, both sides are even in inside 50s, but Darley have been far more effective on the scoreboard.

Dan Jordan’s Devils remain the competition's most dominant outfit across multiple categories—loose ball gets, contested possessions, and overall efficiency.

The midfield pairing of Nick Hind and Brett Bewley continues to control games with an average of over 36 disposals each per week.

North Ballarat will need to bring both intensity and composure to break through Darley’s defensive structures.

But with momentum on their side, a win here could be their biggest statement yet.

For Darley, it really is a crucial match — with East Point and Sunbury to come, banking four points here could prove pivotal in shaping the top two.

Tip: Darley

This weekend marks the 200th time Ballarat and Redan will square off—a rivalry that dates all the way back to 1942.

Redan held the upper hand in recent history, winning 10 of 11 matchups between 2015 and 2021, but momentum has shifted since.

Ballarat have claimed five of the past six clashes, including their most recent meeting.

This one, though, feels like it could go either way—with both sides firmly in the hunt for a finals berth.

Despite sitting second last on the ladder, Redan are just a couple of wins outside the top six.

A victory here, followed by a winnable clash with Lake Wendouree next week, could see the Lions suddenly right back in contention.

Meanwhile, Ballarat are only four points clear of North Ballarat but sit behind them in percentage, making a win this weekend just as crucial to keep their finals hopes alive.

The Swans will be boosted by the return of midfielder Paddy Simpson, whose average of 20 disposals and six score involvements per game will be a huge benefit.

For Redan, the inclusion of Lachlan George in recent weeks has brought a much-needed dose of experience, helping steady a team hit hard by injury earlier in the season.

The match-up could hinge on two key areas: how the game starts, and how it ends.

Ballarat have won the opening term just once in 2025.

If Redan can replicate their fast starts from early in the year, they could put the Swans on the back foot quickly.

But the Lions have struggled to finish games off, still without a final quarter win this season.

Ballarat’s ability to run out games could prove decisive.

In a milestone clash with major ladder implications, expect a hard-fought contest in a rivalry 200 games deep.

Tip: Redan

With the top four sides locked on 24 points, percentage is a hot topic of the finals conversation.

Currently sitting fourth with the lowest percentage of the bunch, the Roos will be eyeing both four points and a significant boost when they host winless Lake Wendouree this weekend.

Last time these two met at Eastern Oval, East Point put on a clinic.

Replicating that performance could be essential, especially with a heavyweight clash against ladder-leaders Darley after the break.

Anything less than a big win here could see them lose grip on a top-three spot by the halfway point of the season.

For the Lakers, while the wins column remains empty, it’s all about development and setting measurable goals.

These matchups against elite opposition offer valuable benchmarks—and a chance for some of their consistent contributors to test themselves at the highest level.

Joel O’Connell will likely draw the challenge of limiting Micka Rotumah-Onus, who has been near unstoppable through the midfield.

Angus Gove, a standout in defence, faces a different but equally tough assignment: keeping Jordan Johnston and other key Roos forwards from dominating the scoreboard.

In the ruck, Tom Zampatti has proven he can win the hit outs.

The next step for the Lakers is turning those into meaningful clearances and momentum—something East Point’s Joel Van Meel and Ryder Lavery have made a habit of doing with composure and consistency.

With dry conditions forecast, the Lakers must lift their tackling pressure and find a way to slow down East Point’s ball movement.

If the Roos are allowed to transition freely from contest to attack, it could be a long day for the visitors.

For East Point, it’s clear: get the points, boost the percentage, and keep their top-three hopes on track.

Tip: East Point