A number of heavyweight battles headline Round 13 with plenty of match ups set to determine the look of the ladder as we head into the pointy end of the season.

Despite the anomaly of the Kangas’ Round 1 failings, Joe Carmody's group will start warm favorites turning the tables on the Devils at Eastern Oval.

Since their 96-point wakeup call at Darley Park, the Kangas have taken all before them marching their way through a 10-game winning streak, beating every side bar Dan Jordan's touring party in the process.

For some Kangas, the loss to Darley will be a distant memory but for some it will feel like yesterday given the four-quarter obliteration.

But what a formidable side East Point have become under new season coach Joe Carmody - some rival clubs and players have gone on the record to say they're the best they've seen so far in 2024.

A win for Darley on the road given the form of the Kangas would be arguably Dan Jordan's biggest win outside of finals and the clubs’ seven-year, drought breaking win over Melton in Round 8 last year.

If the 'just going' Devils are still in the game at half time, the numbers suggest their challenges have only just begun.

Post Round 1, East Point's second half returns have been ridiculous.

For third quarters the Kangas are W9-L1 (348-96) averaging near 35 points (for) while conceding less than 10 (9.6) for the period.

Final quarters are just as impressive for the Kangas icing the cake having W9-D1-L0 (298-145), averaging near 30 points (for) and a miserly 14.5 against. The one-sided nature of the Kangas’ second halves equates to W10 L0 (646 pts FOR, 241 pts AGST) - essentially a seven goal advantage.

Darley's task will be made even tougher in the likely absence of star playmaker Billy Myers (calf) who was unsighted after half time in the club’s 12-point win over North Ballarat.

Myers joins Wil Johnson, Adam Azzopardi, Mitch Ward and Jack Bewley on the injury list, an area East Point have been blessed with since the season opener.... until now.

There are concerns for Joe Dodd (dislocated knee), Deng Lual (leg), Geordie Slater (leg) and Strahan Robinson (minor calf) getting up for the BFNL's Match of the Round, leaving the door slightly ajar for the visitors.

I'm not sure the Devils can get it done with their outs, limited avenues to goal and season long struggles for connection unlike their 2023 premiership year, but you can guarantee a Dan Jordan mentored and Brett Bewley (41.8 avg disposals - comp rank #1) led crew will have other ideas.

The Kangas’ top end are all in career best form - Matty Johnston (36 disp avg - comp rank #2), Jordy Johnston (18 goals, 7.4 marks, 6 inside 50s, 10 score involvements), Bryson McDougall (43 goals - comp rank #2), Joel Van Meel (comp rank #1 for hits to advantage 10.8), Jackson Merrett and Jacob Brown (average 17 marks between them in the back half - comp rank #1 and #4 for uncontested marks) and Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (25 disp - 7 clearances).

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

A young Roosters outfit will endeavour to end the Bloods’ six game winning streak at Mars Stadium this Saturday as Melton head up the highway.

Brendan McCartney would be the first to concede it’s a mission easier said than done despite the Roosters’ impressive record at home.

Only East Point (twice), Melton and Ballarat have been successful at the venue dating back to the start of 2022.

Unfortunately for McCartney's group, injuries and unavailability of key personnel will make it tough tp deny the Bloods a seventh win on the trot.

It won’t be without some minor concerns for the Bloods with the absence of Jordy Cotter, Jono O'Brien and Ryan Davis.

Not dissimilar to last week, expect North Ballarat to will this game into an arm wrestle for as long as possible and minimise the damage the Bloods can inflict given an (uncontested) game on their own terms.

The Bloods are so well set up behind the ball, structurally sound and thriving in a period 'all on the same page'.

Forward, they're dynamite at the moment, in rare air, posing a five-pronged attack who rarely miss their opportunities.

The Kights, the Carters and (push forward) winger Kyle Borg are finding isolation aerially and at ground level to swoop and score far too easily.

Can McCartney and his band of inexperienced soldiers find a way to stifle a recurrence? I anticipate they will for periods but for the long haul, albeit four quarters will be a tough ask.

The effort the Bloods brought to the table in the last quarter of last week’s 77-point win over Sunbury was that of a team on a mission with an unquestionable work ethic.

There was simply no let up as the Bloods kicked the last four goals of the game to put the icing on the cake.

Their premiership credentials this far out are compelling.

McCartney has been on the record making us acutely aware over recent seasons, around this time, there's still 'a long way to go'.

In fact, Melton had lost just the one game at this stage last year adding a sense of deja vu to the conversation.  

The Bloods won't find it easy to shrug the resistance of the hosts, East Point and Darley more recently can attest to that.

Somehow, undermanned North Ballarat hit the front in the last quarter against the Kangas and were within a goal late of the Devils before falling 'respectfully' short.

Consider the evidence a reminder for Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble who will take no prisoners regardless of opposition or where they're situated on the table - it's all part of rendering the mission complete.  

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Sunbury host Redan in a must win game for both clubs given their recent records.

These two sides have lost four of their last five games. Sunbury will be desperate to keep their top three credentials alive while Redan's chances of pinching a spot in the finals action hang by a thread.

In a battle between the Lions in the 'East' and the Lions in the 'West', just who is the hungrier of the two prides and more methodical in the stalking of their prey will surely earn the all-important four premiership points.

With Darley and North Ballarat starting underdogs this round against East Point and Melton respectively it's the ideal opportunity for Sunbury to bounce back.

A win could see the Lions of the 'East' (Sunbury) return into third place come 5pm Saturday, and they should get it done especially on their own territory.

But you can't dismiss the visitors and their agenda with a top six finish still on the cards - just!

Gary Learmonth's group need a win against a team above them if they're to feature.

At the moment seventh placed Redan are W0 L7 against the top six teams. Winning at the Clarke Oval has been a tough assignment for any BFNL touring party regardless of ladder position.

Only Melton (four points) have been successful.

Questions will be asked of Redan as Sunbury welcome back overlap runner and link man Mitch Lewis onto a wing.

Given the size of the Clarke Oval you can't downplay the importance of the wingmen, they're essentially an extension of the midfield.

Expect the former Port Melbourne utility to improve the general makeup of the Sunbury lineup who were without Jack Hannett, Nathan Wood and Jake Egan in last week’s 77-point loss to Melton.

Jordan Tentonello should be fine to go after a 'corky' left him lame on the sidelines for last week’s second half.

Redan's struggles to score are a massive concern given the talent that is in their front half.

The Geelong VFL listed Lachie Bond will appreciate the room at Clarke Oval and be keen for a breakout game alongside more than capable trio Grant Bell, Marty Boyer and Lachie McLean.

Mobile ruckman Rudie Forde is showing great promise and should welcome the big ground giving Khy Jess and Lachie Bond a chance to better a Sunbury midfield that has had its colors lowered in recent weeks against Melton (twice), Ballarat and East Point.

However, I expect in-form Sunbury forwards Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean will prove an afternoon long handful for the Redan defence and arguably the difference in the game come 5pm Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Bacchus Marsh will look to bounce back to the winner’s list when they travel to Melton South this weekend.

After showing periods of promise equating to three wins from their opening six games, the Cobras remain winless post their bye having lost their last five games.

The recent struggles for the Cobras hitting the scoreboard will give the Panthers a live chance recording their first 'quarter win' of the season.

Ironically, it was against the Cobras last year the Panthers recorded their only 'quarter' win of the season.

Since the Cobras’ Round 7 bye, goal returns of nine, six, eight, three and seven have provided them with little chance acquiring an elusive fourth win.

But the perfect opportunity to buck the trend presents in the form of the winless Panthers who average 150 points against per game.

Expect experienced campaigner and tireless key Jake Owen (25 goals - comp rank #7) to feature despite a deliberate match-up from former coach Travis Hodgson who has huge respect for the former Cobras’ captain.  

The Panthers will be refreshed after a week off and buoyed by the recent contributions of Cody Chapman, Mitch Fino and Broden Collins at interleague level that should instill the group with some confidence to take it up to the struggling Cobras for periods.

While Hodgson looks for mini wins from his embattled group, expectations will be much greater out of the Cobras camp led by playing coach Dennis Armfield.

This Round 13 match-up will provide Armfield with the perfect stage to resemble more of the style of footy he wants his group to play.

Failure here to replicate on a simple plan of demands from the former Carlton AFL utility would compound the recent frustrations for a group not shy on talent or will to play for the jumper.

It's all about regaining continuity and connection for the Cobras this weekend.

A spike in enjoyment levels surely follows with compliance, as process takes care of the result, culminating with an overdue rendition of the victory song in smile and unison.

SCOOP’S TIP
Bacchus Marsh

Forget their Round 1 meeting, Lake Wendouree are in with a real live chance upsetting Sebastopol at CE Brown Reserve.

The Lakers consolidated their recent signs of improvement with a 29-point win over Bacchus Marsh ending an 11-game run of outs on the road.

'Run of outs' is probably an understatement given their average 'away' loss for the period was 74 points.

Welcome back!

Excited Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown will embrace the challenge against a Burras outfit playing above their three-win season return.

After a horror run with injury, Tony Lockyer’s group are beginning to resemble more of the Burra we're familiar with having taken it up to third placed Darley and more recently second placed East Point.

On both occasions, despite eventual loss, the improving Burra have been within striking distance at the final change.

Not to be outdone, the Lakers were within 25 points of the Devils at three quarter time before the reigning premiers corrected their errant ways in front of goal.

Regardless of the final margin the Lakers did crack in which has been a common theme from rival coaches in the aftermath.

The consensus on the Burra has been equally as encouraging, implying Lockyer's group will trouble a few more fancied runners on the way home.

If that is to be the case, you would think a win over a spirited Lakers is more likely than not. But certainly not the 'given' that was expected in Round 1.

Both sides are on the up, disparity far less than we've seen recent years.

The Lakers should hold no fears for the Burra but must learn good habits around repeat efforts from week to week rather than settling for a monthly celebration in song.

It's time to embrace the next level with work rate, buy-in and consistency. The reward is palpable, we saw what it meant for the group last week.

This match will tell us more about the Lakers and their progress. Can they reproduce and raise the bar?

I guarantee Lockyer and Sebastopol will come ready to test the waters...   

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

With just a month left on the home & away calender, every moment counts out on the field. Round 15 is set to answer some questions on where things stand in the run home of season 2023.

The anticipation is high for this all-important showstopper as two of the BFNL's more experienced mentors aim to implement a winning plan that will keep their side’s top three chances alive.

Brendan McCartney's travelling party will arrive confident having won seven of their last eight games including a 57-point (home) win over the Devils in Round 9.

The Roosters army were at their frugal best on that occasion restricting a disappointing Darley to just 28 points.

To put it in perspective, only Melton South (14) has scored less against the Roosters in their 13 games this season.

However, it wasn't the first time the Devils have failed to flatter in more recent times at Mars Stadium having lost by 69 points under Jordan in round 11, 2022.

As if it were a line in the sand moment for the Devils, they've won 16 of 20 games since. They're a better team now under Jordan, enough to warrant a 'mulligan' for their Round 9 failings without the likes of Billy Myers, Luther Baker and Bailey Young.

The fans will be spoilt with the levels of quality we’re likely to see on display.

For the home side, reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley (named in the best nine times from 11 games) will lead the likes of Myers, Baker, Young, Matthew Brett, Shane Page and a host of improving types endevouring to impact under the radar.

Not to be outdone, Roosters marquee signing Stewart Crameri arrives with in-form mids Jack Riding, Riley Polkinghorne, star Collingwood VFL listed swingman Sam Glover, the returning Tom Hotchin and dominant big man Cam McCullum.

Unfortunately for the visitors, no Jamie Quick (33 goals) who must follow concussion protocols after a knock in last week’s loss to Sebastopol.

This one should be a ripper.

Fingers crossed, fine weather is forecast and the game is given every chance to deliver on its promise.

Both sides will look the winners for a long way but leaning with history repeating on McCartney's last trip to Darley Park in a lower scoring affair than the Devils 100-82 victory.          

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The Cobras will look to gain some reward for their recent competitiveness with the hope of victory over winless Melton South.

While a third win of the season appears more likely for the travelling Cobras, there's nothing like the feeling of a win and rendition of the victory theme song in full voice.

Unfortunately for Ryan Hoy's Panthers they're little chance of enjoying the very thing we can take for granted - winning.

It's been the toughest introduction for any coach in recent memory, averaging 176 points against per game.

Adding salt to the wound does little for the embattled club who have also endured a horror run with injury culminating in a third loss of 200 plus points last weekend.

This week however is no Melton, Sunbury or Darley, the three clubs to have put Melton South to the sword by 200+ points, so look for the Panthers to make positive inroads.

They’ll be eyeing the hope to top their highest return this season with a score of 8.12-60 the benchmark, a tally posted against the Lakers in Round 5.

Easier said than done however, as the Cobras eye some conviction of their own.

Their top end talent led by Jake Owen, Jake McCreery and Luke Goetz will ensure the majority of game is played on the Cobras terms as they endeavor to tick off a number of KPI's.

Coach Jason Williams won't be taking this game lightly and will be reliant on a collective buy-in from the outset, enabling maximum result possibilities.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Sunbury head to MacPherson Park with their slim top three chances still intact. But they will have to do it the hard way on the run home needing wins against Melton (A), North Ballarat (A), Bacchus Marsh (H) and Darley (A).

A big ask, but they're looking ominous ahead of the business end following the return of Tyson Lever (foot) and Mitch Lewis (overseas). Dangerous forward Jake Sutton (overseas) is expected to arrive home on Thursday, prior to the Bloods showdown.

While the Bloods have lost just one game this year, they will have to overcome the Lions without key forward duo Ryan (concussion) and Liam Carter (calf).

Aaron Tymms' men remain the blueprint for the soldier in, soldier out theory but there is no doubt even the most loyal of Bloods’ fans would be wondering where their scores will come from.

That said they did have 14 goalkickers last week against the Panthers.

Given Port Melbourne VFL have the bye expect former St Kilda listed Brenton Payne to assume the key forward role and Braedyn Kight to sacrifice recent midfield minutes for a return primarily to the front half where he is a proven matchwinner.

That would be a nice place to start in the absence of the Carter brothers.

The midfield battle will be finals-like. We're familiar with each teams’ capabilities offensively in this area but do the Lions have the discipline to impact without the ball, denying the Bloods run in transition.

Not many can say they have, especially on Maccy Park.

Can Sutton and ageless support act Leigh Brennan do enough to trouble the Bloods defence? While Sutton has 28 goals from his eight games, the jury is out whether he can impact 48 hours post an overseas return.

Big Lion Cody Brand will also need to stand up against the reigning premiers - his appointed role at either end will be crucial.

The Lions are 0-3 against top three opposition this year and come into the game with a questionable four-week preparation having had Melton South, Ballarat and the bye in the lead up to this Bloods battle. 

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Visitors Redan will be chasing their first win in four weeks when they meet the tenth placed Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

The Lions head into the game warm favorites and will look to put this game to bed early as they continue their quest for a prized top six finish.

They will be given every chance to usurp East Point (bye) in sixth place. Overcoming the Lakers will see the Lions back into the six, percentage ahead of the Kangas.

An unlikely loss for Gary Learmonth's young group will jeopardise their chances however it would not be the end of the world given the nature of their draw sees the Roos still a strong showing to finish sixth.

So, expect the Kangas from a distance to have one cheeky eye on the prospects of an upset.

But let’s be realistic - Redan should win and win well despite having won just three of their last eight games.

Midfield quartet Isaac Grant (34 goals), Lachie George (in best four times from seven appearances), Cooper Craig-Peters and Daniel Bond will look to assert early dominance around clearance to give opportune forwards Grant Bell (19 goals), Marty Boyer (15 goals) and Lachie McLean (14 goals) first crack impacting the scoreboard.

Despite the Lakers’ capitulating loss to Darley last week, they were very competitive for the best part of three quarters.

Big men Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty have added some aerial presence while defenders Angus Gove, Bailey Ryan and Cody Helyar showed resilience against quality opposition.

It's a shame the Lakers have had to endure recent weeks without the O'Connell boys (overseas), Jacob Coxall (concussion issues), Callum McKay (shoulder) and Flynn Loader.

Kicking a winning score could be the Lakers’ greatest challenge. They have managed just eight goals in four of their last six games

A tally that will see them struggle to win but maybe enough to keep them in the game long enough.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

Bye

East Point

Ballarat

Sebastopol

With the race for finals almost locked in across our top six, eyes will turn to the formlines of our teams looking to contend across the September action.

The Swans’ chances of toppling a decimated North Ballarat at Alfedton Oval are 'very real'.

Forget their Round 9 meet.

Ballarat aren't the only side to leave Mars after a failed mission and won't be the last.

The Swans have won their last three games on the trot and have sewn up sixth spot already ahead of finals and could finish as high as fourth.

Let's hope the realisation of finals has the Swans continuing to build on the messaging from outgoing coach Chris Maple.

The Swans are a better side around the ball and look more structurally sound than the group we saw at their previous meeting with the Roosters 49 days ago.

Doesn't seem very long I know, but maybe the penny has dropped at the Swans, boys are becoming men.

The Roosters test will serve as a timely footy audit for Maple and his finals bound Swans.

Can they make an impression with a win at home in front of their loyal and faithful or will they be considered as just making up the numbers come September? 

Guarantee, the Roosters will make you earn the premiership points or any point for that matter regardless of who is missing.

Coach Brendan McCartney has had no choice than to focus on the 'what haves' over a luckless season on the injury and availability front.

The current Roosters’ list is loaded with progressive young talent, not shy on cracking in.

Sure, they're lacking the A-Grade assets at the moment to upset a Melton or East Point, but they will be confident taking the down the Swans in the meantime.

This result will tell us more about the Swans than it will a skeletal version of the Roosters’ best 22.

Scoop’s tip
Ballarat

With finals now seemingly beyond reach of these two, this match could pose as the unofficial decider as the best team outside of the six!

Finding motivation should be easy for these two proud clubs but the Burra are hosting their Sponsors Day lunch and will look to impress in front of a big crowd at Marty Busch.

For visitors Redan, coach Gary Learmonth, while disappointed the reality of finals is now all but off the table, he will see the occasion as another opportunity to develop his young group.

The Burra on the other hand, despite excuses, it's felt too much like trying to make up for lost ground given the club hasn't missed the September action since 2018.

Both sides have had their struggles hitting the scoreboard, so I’m not expecting the heights of their entertaining returns in Round 4 but we can wish for a similarly tight affair.

No Luke Kiel for the Burra is a big out. They missed him last week against the Devils having left the ground in the first quarter with a hyper extension of the knee.

It couldn't have come at a worse time for Tony Lockyer's group aiming to keep their season alive.

Expect Lockyer, Lachie Cassidy, Bailey Medwell and Jack Bambury to pick up the slack in the absence of Kiel to get the job done in front of fans desperate for a second 'home' win of the season.

Redan's troops should hold no fears for the Burra and arrive with every intention of leaving with the premiership points ahead of a night long celebration at their Mid-Year Ball.

There's nothing in this match, just leaning to the hosts spoiling the Lions’ party ahead of their version of the big dance on Saturday night!   

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Sunbury will look to capitilise on their 'double up' meeting with Melton South consolidating the four premiership points on offer and likely percentage boost that comes with it.

Expect livewire Lions’ forwards Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean to be given every opportunity to 'fill their boots' despite the efforts of a 'recently resistant' Panthers. 

Fresh off the bye, Sunbury will welcome a solid hit out ahead of two big games against Darley and East Point.

I'm not sure what Lions coach Matty White will define as success in the aftermath given the inevitable nature of this result, but resembling more of the Sunbury we saw in the opening six weeks of the season is surely on the Lions’ radar.

Needless to add, getting through unscathed would be a bonus for the Lions given some minor setbacks to key personnel in recent weeks.

Jake Egan, Mitch Lewis, Jack Hannett and Nathan Wood have all missed some footy and will look for some continuity in the lead up to finals.

Star mid and Coburg VFL listed player Ben Cameron is arguably the Lions’ best player and will be a welcoming inclusion at finals time if he indeed misses more games at local club level.

It wouldn't take Einstein to predict the Panthers best players named ahead of the game - the sheer weight of dependence is a heavy load to carry.

The unenviable rotating bottom five or six scenario at the Panthers is likely to continue for another week adding further degrees of difficulty to the task at hand.

Tipping Panthers’ coach Travis Hodgson will have one eye on the Sunbury score as a measurement of their ability to contain while the other will be a little more ambitious, a view to the Panthers own inside 50 count and what that can amount to on the goal front.

Either way you look at this game - mini wins loom potentially for the hosts while big wins lie in waiting for the visiting party.

Scoop’s tip
Sunbury

Fresh off the bye, expect a rejuvenated Kangas outfit to hit the ground running and extend on an unbeaten run of 11 games when they host the Lakers.

The Kangas are the real deal and have been for some time.

They've won more games than any other side from their last 17 that included a Preliminary Final appearance in 2023.

East Point have won 15/17, ahead of Melton and Darley both 13/17 for the period.

The experience of last year’s two finals wins will hold them in good stead especially with the proven returns of key pair Jacob Brown (in best 6/10) and Mickitja Rotumah-Onus (5/12) to the club, and arrival of new coach Joe Carmody who has taught this group how to defend (comp rank #2).

There's a gulf in class that will be on show at Eastern Oval, but nobody needs to tell Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown.

For the here and now, they're just names on paper.

That's the attitude a combative Lakers unit will want to take into the game to unsettle any class differential.

Brown will surely demand the effort and the work rate, that's a given.

But do the Lakers have what it takes to deny the Kangas a blow out, or a real surge in momentum of back-to-back goals? That lies their greatest challenge, a 'mini win' if you will to take from an otherwise (expected) spirited loss.

The Lakers have some good cattle that will ask questions of East Point early, but the sheer quality of depth in the Kangas’ squad will prove too overwhelming.

Their stars are all in form posting big numbers or hitting the scoreboard.

The Kangas by definition are proving 'more than a handful'.

I expect the trend to continue and Carmody's all conquering Kangas will make it 12 wins in a row.       

Scoop’s tip
East Point

Bye

Bacchus Marsh

Darley

Melton

We're back with a full slate of games this weekend, which will see some crucial contests unfold. There are finals spots on the line and matchups that are set to mould how the final six will fall come seasons end. 

Bottom three combatants Bacchus Marsh and Lake Wendouree will fancy their chances when they meet at Maddingley Park.

Both teams have proven to be competitive for periods against more seasoned opposition in recent times but are yet to breakthrough with an upset.

While the Cobras’ three wins have come against Melton South (twice) and the Lakers, the hosts have three final quarter wins against top six opposition.

Clutching at separation, I know, but it's enough to instill the Cobras as warm favorites given the Lakers’ only win has come against the winless Melton South.

Interesting to note the Lakers form early in games has been encouraging before late fade outs have cost them dearly on the scoreboard.

On the flipside, the Cobras have shown a liking to finish off well. More often however when the game is already put to bed.

Settling on who gets it done is not easy. When in doubt, back in the team with the most influential top end.

Tipping Cobras’ big man Luke Goetz will cancel out Lakers’ tall timber pairing Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty.

Expect Jake McCreery and veteran Tyson Shea to be the immediate beneficiaries with Jake Owen (25 goals) looming dangerously forward. I sense this could be a pattern for the day.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Top six aspirants East Point will need to bring their scoring game if they're to upset third placed Sebastopol.

With the Kanags chances buoyed by the absence of Burra livewire Jay Dahlhaus (hand), plenty more will need to go right to keep their finals hopes alive.

Alternatively, the Burra will look to consolidate its top three and potential top two status with a grinding win on the road.

Despite what the ladder suggests (7th v 3rd) by no means will this be a walk-in-the-park for pre-game favorites Sebastopol.

Both teams come into the game fresh off the bye, just who gets down to business first may be hard to run down given the high stakes.

Surely Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro have an eye on containing one of the Johnston brothers but the thought of two negating roles through the middle of the ground could spell danger.

Expect Jackson Merrett's Kangas to roll the dice and back themselves in to hit the scoreboard. Brad Whittaker (24 goals), Jack Jeffrey (17), Bryce McDougall (16), Jordy Johnston (14) alongside Merrett himself (12) are all proven goal scorers in 2023 and will be keen to deliver.

Burras forward duo Toby Hutt (31 goals) and Hugo Papst (27) will present their own set of problems for the hosts, not mentioning a likely return for all important midfielder Lachie Cassidy from a hamstring injury.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Visitors Sunbury will need some genuine inner belief if they're to conquer North Ballarat at Mars Stadium.

The Lions will arrive near full strength and seemingly in-form, despite a four-quarter loss to Melton last week and will want to deliver a strong performance in Ballarat or leave the slim possibility of a sixth or even worse, seventh place season finish in play with two rounds to follow.

Let's be honest, Sunbury's form in Ballarat is cause for concern, having had just three wins from their last ten visits with two of those victories coming against a lowly and rebuilding Lake Wendouree outfit.

While Brendan McCartney's Roosters have lost their last two games on the road, like it or not they're a different team at home boasting a 15-3 win-loss record since 2022.

Expect the hosts to be strengthened with the return of dangerous forward Jamie Quick (33 goals) and Sam Artz, both from concussion, while the availability of Jack Riding (Werribee VFL) remains a 'watch this space'.

Both sides like to run and carry the footy, bordering on similar styles. The result could well be decided by which team can execute the basic fundamentals more efficiently - plain and simple.

Given the Roosters imposing home record and the Lions inability to deliver their A-game against like-for-like opposition in Ballarat you have to lean to the Roosters getting the job done. Sunbury are more than capable, even labelled 'smokies' for the flag. Time to get to work!

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

The Devils should move into rare company come 5pm Saturday with a 12th win of their season when they host the winless Panthers.

A minimum 12 wins for Dan Jordan's men beckons, a feat only Melton 2022/23 (14/13*), Ballarat 2022 (12), and East Point 2018 (13) have been able to achieve in the last five seasons.

Given the nature of the 2023 season, it's likely a minimum of 13 wins is what you'll need to guarantee a top two finish allowing very little room for error.

While we know the potential advantages of finishing third, the evenness of the competition gives you no assurance of progressing. Give me a top two finish any day in 2023.

What version of Jordan's best 22 we're likely to see carries more weight than most discussion points surrounding the second v 11th encounter.

The hosts will look to get through unscathed eyeing a healthy list available for the business end. Following the Panthers, the Devils host Melton and Sunbury in the lead up to finals.

For Ryan Hoy's embattled group, the season’s end is near.

Saturday's meeting with the Devils on the road marks the penultimate game of their season with Redan (A) and the bye to come.

While we can expect an honest performance from the Panthers progressive group of youngsters, they're a mile off troubling the Devils, who have bigger fish to fry. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Chris Maple's Swans return home with another opportunity inflicting an upset when they host Redan at the weekend.

Prior to the bye, the Swans had lost their last three games, and even their mojo at times, going down by margins of 52 (East Point), 52 (Sunbury) and 39 (North Ballarat).

Admittedly all three games were on the road, so a chance presents in front of a home crowd to reproduce some of their best footy after a timely break.

The Swans have the cattle to upset teams above them on their day so Gary Learmonth's Lions will need to be switched on.

The visitors have plenty to play for as a spot in the top six looks beckons as things stand.

Despite 33 shots on goal, the Lions managed just 10 goals in their comfortable win over the Lakers last weekend.

Lions’ sharpshooter Isaac Grant was (and not for the first time) largely the culprit finishing with a wayward 3.9. Grant has the unwelcoming stat of the league’s leading scorer of behinds (31) well ahead of the next best with 20.

Something resembling the six goals Grant kicked in their earlier Round 3 meet will be on the wish list for Lions fans.

Alternately, Swans leading goal scorer Andrew Hooper (38 goals) kicked four goals in the 31-point loss at City Oval.

Both sides bring the heat and enjoy a contested brand of footy. I'll lean slightly more towards the broader experience of Redan over the Swans, especially at the coal face.

While the Lions can flirt with their own form from time to time, I can't see them leaving the 'upset' door ajar with so much at stake at this time of the year.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

With the top six sides all but locked in for 2024, Round 16 presents a number of clashes set to go a long way in telling the tale of how the September action may play out.

While its second placed East Point taking on fifth placed North Ballarat, the Roosters could well be in for a long afternoon.

The Kangas have won their last 12 in a row, having won all six of their season home games by an average of just under 82 points. Extraordinary really.

Their overwhelming firepower has seen them catapulted to equal flag fancy alongside Melton boasting four of the top 14 goalkickers and number one target for marks inside 50 (Bryson McDougall).

Coach Joe Carmody has delivered on a team defence model led by Jacob Brown and Jackson Merrett that sees them ranked only behind Melton for average points conceded per game - a miserly 49 points.

North Ballarat had just seven players from their 2023 Grand Final side in their draw against Ballarat last week and will look to get a body of work into a host of potential returns ahead of a finals campaign.

Even in the event of four or five returning, which is unlikely, first up on Eastern Oval - expectations would be low given their respective (lengthy) layoffs.

But you have to give credit to Brendan McCartney's undermanned Roosters for hanging in, up against more seasoned opposition Darley, Melton and East Point having not been blown away in any.

In fact, the Roosters hit the front at Mars Stadium in the last quarter of their previous meet with the high-flying Kangaroos which poses a timely reminder for Carmody to keep the pedal to the metal.

Star Kangas midfielder Matty Johnston is endeavouring to make it four best on ground efforts in a row and give his Henderson Medal chances another boost.

Good luck the Roosters containing arguably the most in form midfielder in the competition.

A tough ask lies in waiting for the visitors, let's hope they get a change of luck at the selection table ahead of the BFNL's Match of the Round LIVE with vision and commentary via the BFNL Match Centre from 2pm Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Redan will enjoy a change of fortunes when they host Melton South at City Oval.

The reality is, the Lions have lost six of their last seven games by an average of 63.5 points - their only win for the period coming against Bacchus Marsh in Round 10.

Sure, five of the Lions’ six defeats have come against top six opposition so expect the Pride to embrace the class drop here in front of home fans with a big win.

Getting back to hitting the scoreboard will be a welcoming feature for Gary Learmonth and his team who have been denied in recent weeks despite the weaponry forward of Lachie Bond, Grant Bell and Marty Boyer.

The connection of midfield entries into the Lions’ forward line has been a frustrating constant for Learmonth with four of their last six games ending in scores of 40 or less.

Look for some freedom on City Oval, no doubt Learmonth will push the want for his boys to enjoy their footy and as a result I’m sure we'll witness some bang for buck on the scoreboard.

The Lions had 26 scoring shots against the Burra last week, for just 10 goals. With a landslide of inside 50s predicted, expect something in the 20 goals+ range against the Panthers, whose struggles in Ballarat look set to continue.

Travis Hodgson's young group managed just the one goal in each of their previous two games, albeit against Melton and Sunbury.

I anticipate the former Cobras premiership coach will be wanting in excess of a five goal return against a leaking Lions defence who have conceded over 100 points, five times this season.     

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

The fourth placed Devils welcome back star duo Brett Bewley and Billy Myers for their all-important meeting with the third placed Lions at Darley Park this Saturday.

Forget the first 15 rounds. In reality, the Devils title defence begins NOW as they move a step closer to resembling their best 22.

To suggest the stakes are high would be an understatement given the value of third place in the context of the BFNL finals series. The winner will move a game clear of the other with two games left to play.

The Devils at home, on talent alone will start slight favourites, but what's under the bonnet?

Questions will be asked of the Devils to produce for four quarters, not dissimilar to their last meet when the Lions over ran Dan Jordan's men. 

In essence it will be just the fifth game for the Devils in 10 weeks, not to mention a challenging period on the injury front.

The visiting Lions will be supremely fit, that's a given but will need to overcome the absence of under rated trio Jack Hannett, Jack Newitt and Jordan Tentonello - three bona fide defenders, good ball users, all crucial with their efficient rebounding, especially under pressure.

Expect the Lions’ inspirational leader Tyson Lever and breakout small forward Mitch McLean (34 goals) to return into a side coming off a monster 180-point win over Melton South.

Given the Lions’ bye in Round 14, it will be Lever and McLean's first hit-out in 21 days.

With Harry Power doubtful and Jake Egan likely to return through the reserves having not played since Round 11, the door is ajar for the Devils to turn the tables.

The two club’s fierce and healthy rivalry pre dates their entry into the BFNL in the mid-nineties with the weight of public interest likely to replicate a finals atmosphere on a perfect day forecast for football.

There's a bit left to play out here - I’ll let "actions" take care of the rest.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Quite an interesting matchup looms at Marty Bush Reserve when the Burra host the Swans.

While I branded last week’s Sebastopol v Redan game as the unofficial decider for the 'best side outside the six', this showdown could easily be built up as the Burras’ grand final.

A chance to make it two wins in a row before a bye and potential third at home against Melton South beckons, finishing the year off on a high.

So given the scenario put to them, the Burra will need little motivation getting up for this game against a team that has essentially taken the one spot in the finals Tony Lockyer’s men were eyeing off a month ago.

So, what do the Swans have to play for? They're a lock for finals, won't want to get injured and may err on the weight of caution to make sure all is well upon their return to the September action.

I've no doubt outgoing Swans coach Chris Maple won't see it that way, he's not on a journey simply to make up the numbers in the first week of finals and will use this opportunity for further growth.

There is more to do at Ballarat this year and the Burra will provide the ideal hit out to work on the learnings of previous weeks.

Ball use and coping with pressure and perceived pressure will be high on the agenda at the Swans.

Their cattle is of sound quality, and proven more than capable on their day after a 22-point breakout win over Sunbury in Round 11.

I'm tipping Sebastopol to play with more freedoms under less pressure given what lies ahead for these two in 2024.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

The Cobras host relentless flag fancies Melton at Maddingley Park this weekend.

Just where to start making a case for Dennis Armfield's group is not easy given they've won just one game post their Round 7 bye and have a 0-7 record against top six opposition in 2024.

The Bloods, put simply, are flying. The Cobras, still learning.

Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble will welcome a solid hit out in the lead up to finals with the 10th placed Lakers and Darley to come. Given the nature of the ladder, the Round 18 clash with the Devils could be a dead rubber, essentially two hours of preservation before the 'real stuff' begins.

The Cobras at their best would provide Scoble's Bloods with the desired intensity to sharpen them up off the bye. But what version of the red, yellow and black are we likely to see?

They were in the game on the road against North Ballarat just a fortnight ago before the flood gates opened.

The season long struggles for the Cobras conceding back-to-back goals is likely to go on for at least another week, such has been the dominance of the Bloods over the competition.

While we're sure to witness another promising performance from a next gen Cobra, the likelihood of that impacting the result is an ambitious call.

Mini wins will be on the agenda for Dennis Armfield.

Winning a half or even a quarter would be a huge result for the Cobras given the standings of the two clubs on the BFNL table.

Since the Cobras’ bye in Round 7 they have won just five quarters including games against bottom two sides Melton South and Lake Wendouree.

On the flipside, the Bloods have won 17 of their last 18 quarters, having lost just nine quarters for the season, rank one in the competition.

Look out Cobras, leading Bloods’ forward Braedan Kight will be on a mission to add to his tally of 59 goals and build on his four-goal advantage in the race for the Tony Lockett Medal.

I wish his direct opponent all the best!

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

It's set to be a massive weekend as a number of teams will need to win, and win big, as we enter the penultimate round of the 2023 home and away season.

The 'nothing to lose' Swans are off to Marty Busch Reserve embracing another upset opportunity, this time against third placed Sebastopol.  

Coach Chris Maple will be hoping his young group, first and foremost, can stay in the game up until halftime as they've managed to do so recently against Redan (-4pts), East Point (-19pts) and North Ballarat (-4pts).

The Swans’ opposition, Sebastopol, loom an imposing task, especially in Ballarat. The onus on the importance of the Swans opening half comes on the back of the Burras’ impressive numbers for the period.

Of the Burras’ 11 games played (anywhere) in Ballarat - Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro's group have led at the main break 10 times, on the other occasion things were all level.

Only North Ballarat in Round 14 have been able to match the Burra at the halfway mark.

While it's a 'throw at the stumps' game for the Swans there's much more at stake for the hosts. A win will keep their top two chances alive, hoping the Devils can drop at least one of their two remaining games against Melton (H) and Sunbury (H).

Knowing Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro, further improvement and something resembling closer to their best will be enough for the dual appointees to be satisfied. The result will surely have taken care of itself in the event of the Burras delivering on internal expectation.

Keep an eye on the first half - can the plucky Swans buck the trend against the odds? Momentum will play a role here determining the extent of the final result as the hosts look to assert their authority early.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

A significant confidence edge awaits the winner of this top two meeting ahead of the BFNL finals series.

The Bloods and the Devils rank one and two in all areas of scoring both for and against, setting the scene for a mouthwatering match up.

While the Bloods hold the upper hand in all areas, the two are matched identically for shots on goal after 16 rounds with 402 apiece.

The Bloods are coming off the bye while the Devils will look to up the ante after their low pressured 212-point win over Melton South.

Leading forward Ryan Carter and swift ball user Adrian Monitto are expected to be in the mix for a Bloods return while the hosts get a boost with the addition of ruckman Lucas Impey (Western Jets) for another week.

We could expand at length about the likely scenarios of so many what ifs, but the reality is, this game in the context of the season, has more meaning for the Devils.

Dan Jordan's men still need one more win from their last two games to secure second spot and guarantee a prized double chance. Win, lose or draw, the Bloods standing won't be affected.

Sure, the reigning premiers were without Jack Walker, Lachie Watkins and Monitto at their first meet and lost Liam Carter midway through the game but that will account for very little come 2pm Saturday given both sides have moved on from their Round 8 battle of attrition.

While the Devils landed the points that day, they will again start the underdogs against the top placed Bloods. But Dan Jordan’s men are more than capable of claiming the four points at home.

This timely footy audit will be welcomed by both sides, a last chance to fine tune, hone skills and gain learnings against a long-term, well-respected rival.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Bacchus Marsh will look to make it a hattrick of wins in the back half of the season when they endeavour to upset finals fancy Sunbury at Clarke Oval.

While the Cobras have shown encouraging signs with big wins coming in, the reality is all four of their season wins have come against the two sides below them, Lake Wendouree and Melton South.

The Lions however, are fresh from a fortnight footy audit on the road that saw them finish within 27 points of ladder leaders Melton and 12 points of North Ballarat at the fortress that is Mars Stadium.

Consume the form as you please, but the two honourable losses of the Lions carries more weight than the Cobras’ 106 and 92 point wins.

The Lions are near full health and will welcome a solid hitout against the improving Cobras who will retain their Coates Talent League boys for another week. 

Travis Hodgson's group have proven capable of hitting the scoreboard in 2023 with Melton and Darley the only teams bettering their 101-point average per game.

In defence the Lions rank fifth conceding 64 points on average per game. On the flipside the Cobras rank eighth in both offence 67 ppg and defence conceding 81 ppg.

Given the Cobras sheer weight of possession over the last two weeks, their impact without the ball will be tested on the wide expanses of Clarke Oval.

Sunbury are one of the teams more prone to a 'keepings off' style of play.

The ability for the Cobras to win the ball back could be telling. Just an even share of possession will be testing for the Jason Williams’ Cobras hitting the scoreboard given the strength and accountability of the Lions’ defence.

Admittedly youngsters Joel Freeman, Isaac Nixon and Will Lalor give the Cobras a different look forward alongside the BFNLs number one contested marking option in Jake Owen but overcoming Sunbury looms a formidable task.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

While the result of this match-up is deemed inevitable, Redan will look to adhere to the buzz word of many a modern-day coach to max out their returns - 'process'.

Surely if the Lions play to instruction, with a team first mantra, the 'process' will evidently take care of itself, restoring confidence in a group nervously trying to hang on to a spot in the finals.

East Point (7th) are breathing down their necks and have played enough good footy in recent times to suggest they will get the job done comfortably across town against the Lakers.

Just what went wrong last week when the Lions coughed up a 35-point quarter time lead had many, most of all loyal fans, wondering what is going on.

Surely a finals berth is enough motivation to complete the job at hand. I've no doubt executing on the 'process' was found wanting despite the will of the Swans to turn the game around with little to play for on the finals front.

Expect the Lions to take advantage of the struggling Panthers, who can't wait for season's end with the bye to follow. Tipping they'll either be 'pesty' with their efforts knowing it's their last hurrah or the cue is already in the rack and the Lions win big.

Containing the hosts leading scorers Isaac Grant, Grant Bell and progressive youngster Marty Boyer could prove the difference between a respectable loss or a total blow out for the embattled Panthers.

Tipping something in between and the Lions to open right up and resemble something closer to their best adhering to their 'process'.

There's no better time to start finding some touch and sensing a team-oriented buy-in worthy of a prized finals spot inside the top six.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

The Kangas will aim to put this game to bed early and set themselves up for a significant percentage boost when travel to CE Brown Reserve.

Jackson Merrett's seventh placed group remain a live chance to play finals despite the likelihood of sixth placed Redan recording a big win over winless Melton South.

The Kangas energies will be all in on what they can control and that starts with an impressive team victory over the one-win Lakers.

The visitors’ top end talent are in good form and the spread of goals forward evenly balacned. To put it into perspective, the Kangas have seven players with 13 goals or more, the Lakers, just one.

Tim Shearer’s Lakers have shown periods of competitiveness against quality opposition for small periods and will look to bounce back after their disappointing 92-point loss to ninth placed Bacchus Marsh.

The Kangas will look to deny the home side any momentum, especially early. If this can eventuate, look for the visitors to surpass the 100-point total for a seventh time this season and stay within touch of the Lions’ expected percentage again at City Oval.

While Henderson Medal contender Jordy Johnston will look to add a sixth BOG performance to enhance his chances for the prestigious individual award, the revered forward come midfielder would be the first to acknowledge a far greater goal lies at stake for the proud club who haven't missed a finals series since 2017.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

The penultimate home and away round is upon us, with just two weeks left in the regular season.

As teams prepare for finals, the away sides all head in as at least mild favourites for this weekend's fixtures.

The Lions’ top three chances hang in the balance ahead of a must win game against a red-hot East Point outfit at Clarke Oval.

While there was little between them on the scoreboard at their previous meet, the Lions did kick the last three goals of the game to flatter the final margin.

But credit to Sunbury, that's the closest any team has been at Eastern Oval all year.

Sure, Clarke Oval flips the advantage ahead of their Round 17 clash but Sunbury will need to address a few things if they're to end the Kangas’ 13-game winning streak.

Fact: Sunbury have won just two (Melton South and Sebastopol) of their last eight 'first' quarters and rank #11 for average clearances per game.

I know clearances aren't everything and are considered an overrated stat by a few experts, but 11th - really?

The return of Jake Egan will add some bite around stoppage as they go head-to-head against the competition's number #2 ranked team in this area.

As for the Lions’ starts, call it coincidence if you like but their three win, five loss games record for the period aligns more with a browse, raising pattern for concern.

Joe Carmody's visiting party arrive with four of the BFNL's top 16 goalkickers and five of the top 25.

Sunbury has just two in the top 40, albeit two of the top five.

The dependance on Lions’ pair Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean to kick a winning score has not waned given the two are responsible for 95 of the team’s 202 goals for the season (47%).

A successful assignment for the Lions will be judged on their ability to multitask in the run.

'Maintaining' and 'containing' will be the order of the day for Matty White's men - a potential third place finish depends on it.

Nothing really needs to change for the high-flying Kangas bar a correction on their disaster 80-point loss here in Round 11 last year (109-29).

Scoop’s tip
East Point

The Swans will look to build on the learnings and good habits of recent weeks when they head down the highway to meet the winless Panthers fresh off their highest BFNL score in 39 games!

Let's acknowledge quickly, the Swans will be winning.

Outgoing coach Chris Maple has done a good job with this group.

Finals are a lock, and the Swans remain unbeaten since Round 10.

What I’m liking about the 'semi arrival' of Ballarat is the clarity in which the players are responding to their roles.

Their growing number of ball winners are finding the footy more than ever, the talls are holding their own across all three lines.

What they're not marking is being brought to ground.

Opposition teams aren't just waltzing into goal and out of the back half as they please.

Furthermore, Marcus Powling rarely loses the hit-out count in the ruck, while at ground level there’s enough leg speed at the Swans to trouble any side.

They're the encouraging good habits going on at the Swans and you can expect more of the same against the Panthers.

The 'learnings' side of things are not so fundamental.

Maturity in footy IQ remains a work in progress at the Swans around composure and decision making.

That's not always easy when you're coming up against some of the best players in local footy going around.

But Maple has them tracking nicely ahead of an exciting return to finals.

For the Panthers, well they've set themselves a new bar with the 13 goal scoreline last week against Redan.

Credit to them. Cody Chapman keeps racking up the numbers with and without the ball while Jarrod Bibby sounded the alarm of what's to look forward to with four goals and a tenth appearance in 11 games named among the club’s best players.

Scoop’s tip
Ballarat

North Ballarat head to City Oval for their last home and away game of the season to take on Redan.

Both sides will give themselves a live chance banking the premiership points despite little or no luck on the injury front over recent weeks.

Despite Redan's up and down run, injuries have been more crippling for North Ballarat than any side, but somehow, they've been able to stay competitive.

And not just competitive, the Roosters have had their moments for periods against the two dominant teams Melton and East Point, not to mention the reigning premiers, Darley, who sit third. 

Just who the Roosters get back will be a welcoming discussion for Brendan McCartney and his group given it's their last game before finals with the bye on their fixture for Round 18.

Riley Pokinghorne may return while it's been confirmed Quick, Loader and Crameri (retired) are done for the season.

Leading Lions possession winner Khy Jess is in serious doubt after a heavy landing on his back last week that saw him leave the ground early against Melton South.

The weight shifted onto Lachie George and forward pair Lachie Bond and Grant Bell to lift the Lions over the line.

Expect much of the same this week in the likely absence of Jess, Werts and Fitzgibbon.

Both teams are loaded with players shy of 20 years old, earmarking this game for a genuine, spirited battle of youth.

While experience will be lacking at the level, ironically the familiarity of the opposition won't be given the age profile.

You could see firsthand what impact the return of Roosters bigman Cam McCullum had on the group with his physical presence alone.

Also, the bonus addition of Joel Freeman inside 50 has provided the Roosters with a genuine aerial target.

The former Cobra has 13 goals from his last three games including a bag of five last week against the high-flying Kangas.  

Weather permitting, the game should provide plenty of highlights and pose a genuine look into the future of next generation BFNL talent.

Scoop’s tip
North Ballarat

The Cobras will need little motivation bucking the trend of an ailing win/loss record when they host cross town rivals Darley.

Since their 'first' bye in Round 7, the Cobras have won just one of eight games.

Sure, Dennis Armfield's group have had excuses on the back of injury, suspension and unavailability but they're not alone.

The frustrations for Dan Jordan despite a more favourable win/loss are not dissimilar.

Again, I expect both sides to be well shy of their best 22 on paper.

I'd love to be writing up this game as one for the ages with all the bells and whistles thrown in but in reality, expect a hard-fought scrap, stoppage to stoppage game played predominately on the 'inside'. 

Given the level of desperation we often see in a local derby like this, I don't foresee a final margin to reflect the two sides’ current position on the BFNL ladder.

In fact, four of the last five local derbies have been decided by 12 points or less.

The Devils should win easy, but they won't - they will be made to earn any advantage.

Strangely, this match up for the here and now is the Devils most important in the context of their season as a potential third place beckons.

That alone elevates the status to 'danger game' for the Devils.

The Cobras’ season is done, but their pride and spirit will be in full verse I assure you against the old enemy.

I'm tipping Armfield will get everything out of his young group while his top end aims to match or better the enviable spoils made available out of the Devils’ camp.

The Devils must deliver under the weight of all pressure and expectation because if there's one group that would like to spoil their top three chances it's the progressive next gen brigade of the Cobras.    

Scoop’s tip
Darley

Melton are on the road and will look to extend their nine-game winning streak when they meet the Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

The hosts are fresh off the bye and should welcome the challenge after a disappointing effort a fortnight ago against the current number two side of the competition, East Point.

Rohan Brown's group barely made an impression in their Round 15 hit-out, smashed by 155 points.

I'm not sure there's that much of a gulf between the Lakers and the top two - clearly belief remains a work in progress at CE Brown up against the powers of the BFNL.

This weekend poses an ideal opportunity for a turnaround despite the fact the assignment won't be any easier.

Intimidation could be another factor for the Lakers to overcome given the recent Bloods dominance in these fixtures.

There's no point mentioning just how one sided they have been, it's old and unwelcoming news for the Lakers who must find a way to change the narrative in their penultimate game of the season.

The Bloods’ front half boasts five of the top 14 goalkickers in the comp and a defence who treat every goal concede as if it were a kick in the teeth!

Their back six averages just 40 points against per game, well clear of the competitions next best in East Point (50 points pg).

The midfield battle will be a fun watch, both have shown encouraging growth in this area relative to their respective journeys throughout '24.

Composed entries will give the Lakers every chance to bettering their two-goal return against the Kangas. 

Anything registered above the Bloods’ season average concede (40 points) would be considered a tick.

On the flipside, any failings around noncompliance and work rate without the footy could open the floodgates for the Bloods to reach 100+ on the scoreboard for a ninth time this season.

Scoop’s tip
Melton

There is all to play for as we head into the final home & away weekend of the 2023 BFNL season. Who will secure an elusive finals spot, with a number of places in the top six still up for grabs!

With North Ballarat's fourth placing a lock for this year’s BFNL finals, don't expect any favours forthcoming for East Point who must win to give themselves any chance of moving into the top six.

Brendan McCartney's record at Mars Stadium since his appointment at the start of 2021 is formidable at 16-3 but will account for very little as Jackson Merrett and his visiting party plan all their efforts to upset the trend with a season on-the-line performance.

The Roosters are coming off the bye and will look to resemble something close to their best ahead of a do-or-die elimination final next week. Despite winning eight of their last 10 games, the Roosters have lost two of their last three albeit against teams above them in Darley and Sebastopol.

The Kangas will take some confidence into the game knowing they have already beaten the Roosters back in Round 5 this year.

That, along with the standout form of mid/forward Jordy Johnston and support crew Joe Dodd, Matty Johnston, Joel Van Meel and Cam Lovig provide a mounting case for the visitors.

Merrett (16 goals), Brad Whittaker (26), Bryson McDougall (25), Liam Canny (21) and JJ (21) are capable of kicking a winning score, and will surely keep the hosts honest on the goal front.

But with top talent Jack Riding, Sam Glover, Jamie Quick, Stewart Crameri and Riley Polkinghorne all likely inclusions for North Ballarat, the task for the visiting Kangas will be far easier said than done.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Expect Melton to mirror its 2022 minor premiership with a 14th win of the home and away season when they take on the Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

Ironically, it was the Lakers at MacPherson Park in Round 18 last year that Aaron Tymms’ Bloods claimed the minor premiership with a 122-point win. While there's a certain inevitability about Saturday's result, what fortunes lay ahead for the Bloods are not so clear.

Sure, they only lost two games this season, both to the Devils, but there's seems to be a certain level of mortality about them (unlike last year) despite seemingly 'holding the wood' over all teams, bar Dan Jordan's men.

This hitout against the Lakers will give Tymms' reigning premiers a welcoming opportunity to fine tune their touch and any other concerns they may have applying recent methods.

Those variables aside, options to manage any player niggles will be soaked up by the brains trust ahead of a qualifying final next week against Darley (likely) or Sebastopol.

Some will be required to work through it, others granted the week off. Either way, the minor premiership looms as another feather in Tymms' cap, albeit his final year in charge.

For the Lakers, it's been another tough year on the win/loss front with recent results giving every indication season’s end is near.

Let's hope they can find the energy to give interim coach Tim Shearer a response worthy of his efforts following the mid-season departure of Jack Fitzpatrick.    

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Despite the Devils (second) and Lions (fifth) current standing inside the top six, there's a little more at stake than meets the eye when these two rivals meet at Darley Park.

For the hosts, securing a prized double chance that comes with a second-place finish can only be guaranteed with a 14th win of the season given third placed Sebastopol (12 wins) are breathing down their necks aiming to bridge the Devils’ one game and 14% advantage.

Sunbury (151%) on the other hand sit level on 32 points with Redan (6th-135%) and East Point (7th-121%). The only way Sunbury can miss finals will be in the rare event of a loss and wins by Redan over Sebastopol and East Point over North Ballarat, with both on the road.

Tipping both coaches will have appointed an eager eye to follow the progress of those games and adjust accordingly. 

Putting all the hearsay to one side for a moment, the Devils head into the Lions meet with recent home wins over Melton, North Ballarat and Sebastopol. Sunbury however, while competitive for long periods have won just three of their last nine games including three losses on the trot.

Expect both sides to bring the heat early and depending on what is unfolding around the BFNL in real time will determine how long the burners remain on high. For carrying a healthy list into finals will be deemed of paramount importance given the even spread of competition.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Fact. Sebastopol are yet to be beaten at home all year and are yet to be headed at halftime in any of their 12 games played in Ballarat.

When you throw in they're yet to field (arguably) their best 22 on paper, the chances of the Burra breaking their near 50-year premiership drought look promising.

The Burras’ five game winning streak will be put to the test when they face Redan (6th) who are yet to consolidate a finals berth.

While Gary Learmonth's group can finish as high as fifth at the expense of Sunbury, a heavy loss could see them fall as far as seventh, pending the result of East Point's effort against North Ballarat at Mars Stadium. 

Redan have had their chances to lock in the prized sixth spot but have won just three of their last six games, two of those against Melton South.

On the other hand, the hosts have been ultra consistent, having dropped just three games for the season to Melton, North Ballarat and Darley. Strangely, despite playing off in last year’s grand final, the Burra copped the Bloods just once.

Anyway, if Redan can deliver something similar to their Round 9 performance against the Burra (won three quarters), surely they're a chance of an upset.

On paper, the Lions read a formidable combination. But with the Burra expecting Riley O'Keefe, Jay Dahlhaus and Jed Hill to return, the home side looks ominous, enabling chance to be peaking at the right time.

If Redan can get it done, they will surely have earned their place, but the numbers and scope favoring the Burra suggest Kiel and Columbro’s men won't be willing to part on any momentum ahead of finals, with a slim second place finish still on the radar with the Burra needing need Sunbury to beat Darley comfortably. 

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

While much of the BFNL's attention leans toward how the top seven sides shape the final six on the last day of the home and away season, spare a thought for the unofficial battle for eighth when the Cobras host the Swans at Maddingley Park.

While only percentage separates these two sides, it's the Cobras (at home) who occupy the box seat finishing off their season with six wins including their last four on the trot.

Winning out of turn has been rare for these two despite wins over Sunbury (both) and Redan (Ballarat). But it's the gap between the Swans’ best and worst that has left some unconvinced this season.

They have managed just the one win on the road for the season (Melton South) from seven outings and meet the Cobras who refuse to put the cue away ahead of time.

The Swans have seven losses for the season in the 45+ points range including two over the 100-point mark. Alternatively, the Cobras have four defeats beyond 45 points with just one of those toppling the ton (Round 1 v Sebastopol). 

Momentum and an all-important home ground advantage at this time of year will favour the Cobras despite the likelihood of them losing key personnel back to the Coates Talent League’s final round.

The Swans are more than capable of winning, the list will tell you at as you scroll looking for reason.

But there's a positive vibe sweeping the Cobras at the moment and a win in front of their faithful, a fourth in a row will consolidate the club’s direction even further as well and truly on the right track.   

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

We head into our last round of the home and away season with a number of top six sides set to go head-to-head ahead of a blockbuster finals series next week.

There's a bit to play out at the selection table ahead of the opening bounce in Saturday's BFNL ‘Match of the Round’ when Melton host Darley at MacPherson Park.

With finals imminent and the quandary of little or nothing to gain from a ladder perspective will preservation outweigh the prospect of both sides picking their best available 22?

What would you do if you were Troy Scoble or Dan Jordan?

There are a host of variables, damned if you do, damned if you don't. Only in hindsight can we be certain.

The reality is the Devils need more gametime together, another opportunity to connect with a throw at the stumps look at the Bloods who were way too good at their first meet back in Round 7. 

Darley has just two players that have played every senior game this year, Melton nine.

It's no secret the Devils have had their frustrations with an inability to field their best 22 but the here and now looks as encouraging as it's been all year.

Will they risk top end trio Brett Bewley, Billy Myers and Matthew Brett? Would you?

Jordan and his leadership group will be the best judge of that.

From a mental perspective the Devils don't need to be 10 goals off the mark, nor show their entire hand ahead of a finals series just seven days later.

It's a catch 22 situation and potential double edged sword scenario.

Whatever the approach, Devils fans rest assured, you're in good hands.

The Bloods are simply flying taking all before them having won their last 10 on the trot. After the nightmare straight sets exit from last year’s finals race, what will Scoble do different?

With the stage already set for a highly anticipated qualifying final against East Point on August 31st, what could possibly go wrong?

One thing is certain, the Bloods will welcome a timely hit out against top six opposition, the first of its kind in 35 days.   

Scoop’s tip
Melton

Ironically, this game 'near' mirrors the scenarios that face Melton and Darley given there's little to gain ahead of finals for these two sides who face off at Alfredton Oval.

However, 'near' is the key word in this case as a win for the Swans would see them usurp North Ballarat on the table into fifth, earning an elimination final against Sunbury, a team they beat by 22 points back in Round 11.

For the Kangas, a win would extend their unbeaten run to 15 and a chance of securing the minor premiership in the event of Dan Jordan's Devils inflicting an upset down the highway.

It's hard to fathom the more likely outcome is East Point finish in second for the home and season having lost just one game. Unheard of!

The Swans have impressed, earning their return to finals with an unbeaten run since round 10.

They’re in form and ready to test themselves against one of the flag fancies.

How will Swans’ coach Chris Maple go about the assignment? 

Will the experienced mentor lean more on the side of caution and preservation, or will he use the opportunity as a timely footy audit and run the gauntlet against the only team that has beaten everyone in 2024.

The narrative for East Point coach Joe Carmody needs no adjustment.

Onwards and upwards for the all-conquering Kangas is likely, given their spread of impact contributors sits enviably at 22 on recent form. Why flirt with that?

Expect the margin to be closer than their first meeting as the improving Swans present as a tougher assignment at home.

Fingers crossed, both teams get through unscathed, as bigger fish to fry scenarios wait on the horizon.

Scoop’s tip
East Point

The Cobras will have vivid memories of their upset win at the Clarke Oval in Round 18 last year that essentially torpedoed the Lions out of the finals action.

While the Lions are a lock to feature at the business end this year, there's no denying the Cobras some degree of confidence after an encouraging effort against the Devils last week.

Any copy paste version of that performance would see the Cobras make a cheeky case claiming their deja vu moment.

But, backing up solid performance has been a season long battle for Dennis Armfield's young group, with just one win on the board post the Cobras’ bye in Round 7.

Something tells me they've one more push left in them, as leaders Jack Parente, Jake Owen, Tyson Shea, Luke Goetz and Jake McCreery endeavour to drag the four-win Cobras over the line, providing the means of something to celebrate, ahead of a premature mad Monday release.

The Cobras have an upset in them, always have, but Sunbury need to do some correcting of their own and get their season back on track.

Injuries have been crippling for the Lions in the back half of the season.

Ok, crippling may be an overreach, but they have certainly had an impact and derailed momentum.

Unfortunately, the Lions are vulnerable at the worst time of the year.

Expect Lions’ coach Matty White to raise the enjoyment levels for his players in this performance especially given the outcome has little or no bearing on the ladder.

It's just what the Lions need after an energy sapping loss to East Point last week.  

Scoop’s tip
Sunbury

Sebastopol will start warm favourites to take care of Melton South when seventh meets eleventh at Marty Busch Reserve.

With finals off the table for both sides, the respective coaches will look for further improvement with an encouraging performance to hang their hats on ahead of a thorough season review.

The Burra should be fresh off the bye and will look to put this game to bed early, denying a Panthers outfit endeavouring to avoid a winless season for the second time in a row.

Home fans deserve a bold showing from Tony Lockyer's men to round out an otherwise disappointing season.

Sure, they've had excuses but the fall from third last year to seventh would have surprised even the most reserved of Burras fans.

But one thing we do know is the Burra are a proud club, are well led and will bounce.

Don't expect them to have put the cue in the rack just yet and rather use this afternoon to maximum effect with a big win.

For the Panthers, the reality is there have been tougher assignments in Ballarat this year and they should welcome the challenge.

Their best has been encouraging, their worst uncompetitive.

Let's hope for Travis Hodgson and the players representing the proud navy blue and white, there’s one more forward showing left in the camp, before the boots are hung up following another tough season on the win / loss front.

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Expect an entertaining game of footy not dissimilar to their last meet when the Lakers host the Lions at CE Brown Reserve.

Weather permitting, I see no reason why we won't see plenty of goals given the strengths forward in these two sides and the recent evidence of 'leaky defence' syndrome.

The Lakers will need to get their match ups right as Lachie Bond (18 goals, 7 games) and Grant Bell (42 goals, 14 games) pose the obvious threat to Rohan Brown's group earning a third win of the season.

The likely absence of Lions’ midfielder Khy Jess opens the door for the Lakers to square away the clearance count as the focus shifts to denying Lachie George.

One problem is better than two.

Lakers’ midfield combo led by Tom Zampatti, Joel O'Connell, Timmy Collins and Angus Gove will ask questions of the visiting party who have had their own struggles on the win/loss front this season.

But regardless of who is afforded the premiership points come 5pm Saturday afternoon, be sure to venture down to CE Brown and check out the next crop of talent on the rise.

Coaches Gary Learmonth and Rohan Brown are under no illusions where they're at for the here and now, but the same cannot be said for the ceiling on their futures.

The game will be played in great spirits with both teams looking the winner at various stages.

Tipping the visitors may have the edge with weaponry in their front half despite the clear and present danger of Bailey Thompson (34 goals) and potentially Jaydo Wright (hamstring) who faces a race against time to return for the hosts last hit out of the 2024 season. 

Scoop’s tip
Redan

Round 2 Football Preview with Scoop!

With Round 1 in the books, this weekend's action provides clubs with the chance to bounce back or continue their strong starts to the season. 

New Cobras coach Jason Williams gets his first taste of the local derby when they host the Devils this weekend.

What's been prepared for Dan Jordan's boys in the lead up has the mind ticking on the back of a 121-point thrashing in Round 1.

It's fair to assume a 'warm welcome' won't be high on the agenda. Once the two teams have split from their collective respects honouring the Anzac tradition, it's game on.

The Cobras will be desperate to start well at home, giving some indication to home fans the rebuild is on the right track.

New Cobra additions Luke Goetz, Josh Onderwater, Jake McReery and Eamon Ogden performed well in their new colors and will be keen to impact again on what will arguably be the biggest stage for their season.

A handful of Cobra youngsters will return from the Coates Talent League Under 18 competition to bolster stocks and could make it interesting early with their sprightly enthusiasm but it will be a big ask to deny the Devils the premiership points.

Despite winning by 40 points in Round 1, the Devils looked every bit in need of the run and will be hopeful experienced campaigners Billy Myers, Matty Brett and Darren Leonard are available. On a positive note, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Shane Page seemingly play their best footy in these big games.

Surely trying conditions in Round 1 played a role in 'the look' of these two teams and we're privy to a spike first hand on that impression today.

Scoop’s tip:Darley

While you can't fully trust what version of Sunbury you're going get, the small sample size so far in 2023 suggests faith is being restored. So much so, I’m going to tip an upset here with the Lions to make it a 2-0 start to their season, by downing the visiting reigning premiers, Melton.

'Visiting' is the key word determining my selection. For all of the Lions frustrations in recent times they were only one of two teams (North Ballarat the other) to overcome the Bloods in 2022. That day at home, it could easily have been more than final 15-point margin given the Lions had 10 more shots on goal.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms will welcome the press and conversation leaning toward a Lions win and use it as motivation. I've no doubt the Bloods best is still the best going around but can they bring the heat second after a comfortable win over the Panthers in Round 1. I'm tipping like a few clubs, they're still a way off their best in the contest while the Lions have been all in over the pre-season, desperate for early wins after two ordinary starts in '21 and '22.

Sunbury's additions for '23 have been measured, merely complementing a group that, despite a five-win season, were not far off challenging. The top-ups in, Cody Brand, Josiah Garisto, Rivva Karpany, and the full time addition of Josh Guthrie and Mitch Lewis adds depth and stability.

For me, this ‘Match of the Round’ contest is a flip of the coin result - home ground advantage and an 'up and about' Lions is enough to sway against the reigning premiers in a close one.

Scoop’s tip:Sunbury

Expect North Ballarat to bounce back at home when they take on impressive Round 1 winners Redan. Despite losing to Sunbury last week, Brendan McCartney’s boys showed enough to suggest they will be in the finals mix again.

Visiting Redan will be fresh after a week off but I'm not sure that is the ideal preparation so early in the season - how they adjust to the 'flying start' pressure from the hosts will interesting given they're coming off a 15-day break. The Lions are hunting a place in the final six, and will throw everything at their more fancied rivals. Their winning chances are real having beaten North Ballarat in their last meeting on City Oval.

The start will be all important for these two teams - let’s hope there is no significant wind advantage to one end - it always takes the edge off a promising spectacle. 

North Ballarat marquee signing Stewart Crameri was solid first up and will be improved by the run while the availability of Josh Chatfield (Footscray VFL) may have its own bearing on the result. Same can be said for Lions mid Cooper Craig-Peters (Footscray VFL). In a boost for the Roosters, star mid Riley Polkinghorne is likely to return while Jack Riding is a 50/50 chance.

Redan are in form albeit a win over the Lakers, who've lost 16 in a row, means the jury remains out until a more formidable opponent is overcome.

Scoop’s tip:North Ballarat

The Panthers travel to Eastern Oval with a horror recent history against the Kangas. They will be praying for rain at least, hopeful of anything that can minimise the damage.

For new Panthers coaches Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy, let me introduce you to the Johnston brothers, for if you don't acknowledge them now they'll certainly get you later. Expect Matty Johnson to have a presence through the midfield and Jordy to help himself to a few goals as they lead the Panthers’ midfield and defence on a merry dance.

For new East Point coach Jackson Merrett, expect him to endure a few butterflies as he prepares for his first season in charge with the expectations on the Kangas sure to fluctuate.

Given the Panthers tough Round 1 result at the hands of Melton, what can we expect from the Kangas? Can they win by enough to please themselves come 5pm. I think Merrett will be just relieved with the four premiership points in the bank, be happy to get through unscathed and be encouraged by what he saw from his young group - for the Kangas will need more from their 'bottom half' talent if they're trouble the big guns in 2023.

Scoop’s tip:East Point

Both sides arrive off a nervous start following losses to Darley (Ballarat) and Redan (Lakers). In fairness, the nature of the Swans performance was considerably more positive. If not for wasted opportunities, they could easily have finished closer. I know the Lakers too visited the 'wasted opportunities' theme but one goal for an entire four quarters is not in the same mantle.

The Lakers bring some degree of confidence knowing they tested the Swans at their last meeting and were in fact beaten on the last kick of the day. They'll be a better team with newcomers Tom Zampatti and Mick Foster in the midfield, but their availability remains under a cloud.

A memo for Lakers coach Jack Fitzpatrick - beware the youth of the Swans and their ability to extricate from clearance, a notable area of difference in the Lakers opening round loss to the Lions.

Swans trio Will Liston (37 disposals), Paddy Simpson and the 'fine drop' Wyatt Squires impressed against the Devils last week and the beneficiaries of all important ruckman Marcus Powling. How much the young Swans can improve on their efficiencies with ball in hand remains their greatest challenge.

The game looms as the perfect opportunity for progress with a chance to go 1-1 on the line for both sides.

Scoop’s tip:Ballarat

This weekend stands out as we're back with a full slate of games as Redan and Sunbury set out to kick off their seasons with intriguing fixtures in Round 2.

Remarkably, since 2011 these two teams have met just fifteen times, during which time Redan has won eleven of these clashes.

Despite this, Bacchus Marsh has had the better of Redan in their last three meetings at the City Oval.

The Cobras have won here on two of their last three visits, losing by just four points in 2023.

A massive injury cloud hung over Redan throughout the 2024 season, with in excess of 20 players unavailable.

Although clear skies seem to be on the horizon for the Club as a whole, with a large influx of Under 17 and Under 19 players transitioning into the Senior ranks.

2024 BFNL Rookie of the Year Khy Jess will be one’s game to watch after he has spent the summer training with Essendon’s VFL side.

Also returning on the Lions’ list is Lachie Bond who lined up for Port Melbourne in their VFL season opener; a very handy addition to the maroon and gold forward set-up when they can see him in for some games.

The Cobras however will take a lot of confidence out their season opener.

Luke Goetz will no doubt again be hard to stop in the middle after he had 67 hitouts to his name.

Huxtable and Owen are another combination up forward that Redan will need to combat.

Tip: Bacchus Marsh

It’s a big ask.

That’s what it is for Rohan Brown’s young Lakers side, who in the second hit out for the season face an experienced and very much still in form Melton Bloods side.

Melton has had the better of Lake Wendouree in recent times, the Bloods having beaten the Lakers in nine of their last ten clashes.

History is a credit to the Lakers. Prior to this Lake Wendouree had won every one of its encounters with Melton between 2010 and 2018, a run of fourteen straight victories.

Fast forward sometime later and it has been a tough slog for the Lakers crew.

From an individual standpoint, there’s plenty to like about Tom Zampatti after he controlled the ruck for the Lakers, 43 hitouts to his name against an experienced opponent.

Kynan Raven also showing good signs for the Lakers in his first Senior game at the club since 2019. 

Melton had plenty of hands on the footy last weekend and good hands at that.

However, they will be looking to hit the scoreboard much more than they did on the weekend, only managing to pile on nine goals for the entire game.

For Melton it will be a case of exceeding the standards for themselves this weekend.

For Lake Wendouree, it may just be a case of limiting the hurt on the scoreboard.

Tip:Melton

Whilst managing two points in their season opener, North Ballarat will be looking to take advantage of a VFL bye this weekend to secure the full four points.

The Roosters boasted standout individual performances from Riley Polkinghorne (162 Ranking Points) and in his second season at the Club, Mal White.

East Point although managing to take the four points in their first game, will need a four-quarter effort to remain on the winners list.

The Roos bounced to a 30-point lead at quarter time, but gradually let that lead slip across the remainder of the game.

Expect the duo of Matt and Jordan Johnston to be acclimatised to the weather of this weekend after their season in the NTFL. The duo was straight back to business in Round 1, both continuing their good form. 

The Roos have won five of their last six matches against North Ballarat, the one loss being the crucial Preliminary Final of 2023.

And Mars Stadium holds no fears for East Point, winning the last two encounters with North on their home turf.

Although their last encounter was not a close one by all means, a very different North outfit will line up against the Roos this weekend.

It will be a slight unknown for East Point, given North Ballarat’s run with injuries in the back half of last season.

With the Roosters squad looking at (almost) full health, East Point will need to maintain their intensity from the first whistle.

Tip:North Ballarat

After going from 2003 to early 2018 without beating Ballarat, Sebastopol has won seven of their last eleven games against the Swans.

Whilst both sides go into Round 2 winless, they should take a lot of confidence out of their clashes.

On paper, it was a big ask of the Swans to take it up to North Ballarat.

Similarly, the Burra had a challenge in facing 2024 grand finalists East Point.

Both sides managing to be competitive against quality teams, right until the final siren.

With Hugo Papst’s impressive return to the club, coach Tony Lockyer will be hoping for improvement in the middle of the ground to get the ball up forward.

The challenge for the Burra may be in the ruck, in which they’ll need to find an answer for Swans star recruit Biggie Nyuon who featured in there on the weekend.

Youngsters Paddy Simpson (29 disposals) and Wyatt Squires (28 disposals) enjoyed impressive starts to their seasons and will no doubt be looked to again.

With both teams’ sights set on the very achievable goal of finals this year, it’s a pretty important game as the sides head into the Easter break next week.

Tip: Sebastopol

With a Round 1 Bye, it is a big ask of Sunbury to take on Darley for their first game of the 2025 Season.

The Devils took on the reigning premiers in Melton for their first clash of the season last week, keeping the game in their grasp until the last ten minutes.

Coming off impressive individual performances in Hind (45 disposals), Bewley (38 disposals) and Myers (13 intercept possessions), the Lions will have several crucial play makers to shut down.

The Lions have enjoyed a pre-season in getting their squad back to full health. The likes of Hannett, Lever, Newitt, Tentonello and Wood have all been confirmed as 100%.

Tall recruit Damien Johnson will line up for the Lions for his debut; a much needed moving forward and strong mark in the contest.

The Devils have won their past three, and six of their last seven, home ground clashes against Sunbury.

Sunbury’s only win at Darley in this period coming in the COVID-shortened 2021 season.

Darley impressively hasn’t missed a finals series in a full season since 2012. For their part, Sunbury’s only three finals misses have been in recent years.

After a first-round exit from the 2024 finals series, Sunbury will be hoping to get their season off to the best start possible.

Whilst Darley will be hoping to head into the Easter Break back on the winners list.

Tip:Darley

Round 3 action looms with plenty of massive clashes set to take place, but a grand final rematch headlines this weekend's games. Scoop has a look at all the fixtures for this Saturday. 

Round 3 marks 1313 days since the last time the Burra had their way with the Bloods. That won't bother new coach combo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro too much but there's no doubting Tymms' crew have proven their nemesis over recent years.

In fact the Burra have struggled to hit the scoreboard against the reigning premiers in their last few hitouts prompting Kiel and Columbro to narrow the focus in the off season. "Adding efficient ball users with an ability to run," has been the player type targeted by the Burra.

How they'll stand up against the competition benchmark makes for compelling viewing - a classic footy audit awaits the hunters - albeit three rounds in. This scenario will suit them down to the ground as win, loss or draw learnings come sooner rather than later.

Previously, injuries have denied the Burra a real crack with 'genuine' momentum - they will surely ask questions of the Bloods who have answered all challengers in their opening two games. The Burra smashed an undermanned Cobras as outfit in Round 1 but this is a different assignment altogether.

In this instance, the Bloods have every right to consider themselves head of the class, just how they deal with the challenge will be timely for the competition after some big results in the opening rounds. Kiel and Columbro will have done their homework, they saw the Bloods in full flight last week, but whether they can get it done off a 14-day break and soft kill in Round 1, that’s the ultimate question we have heading into this one.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

The Cobras will be hoping to unleash new recruit Jake Long on North Ballarat to bolster their slim winning chances at Maddingley Park. The former Bomber has missed the opening part of the season with a hamstring injury but is right in the mix heading into Round 3.

With fine weather predicted Cobras’ coach Jason Williams will expect further progress from his developing team to challenge Brendan McCartney's men.

The visitors, while deserving favorites, will look to do some improving of their own - building on a system, a connection that can hold them in good stead. They've won just two of their last eight games since their upset win over Melton in Round 13 last year.

So, Cobras beware and be on notice - this will be the first time under McCartney North Ballarat meet the Cobras on a fine day.

Their only two previous meets (under McCartney) have been on heavy rain effected tracks yet somehow the Roosters near doubled the Cobras’ score. Sunbury key forward Cody Brand offered one piece of advice after playing North Ballarat in Round 1, "run and gun". In fact, the Cobras may need their bike to contain this lot. Even McCartney himself has been bullish of his teams' new ability to run. And a good track will suit.

There is plenty to like about the inclusions of the young Cobras back from the Coates Talent League, they can run. And they’ll need them all. Marquee recruit Jake Long will be a bonus too. Containing Stewart Crameri forward looms as Williams’ greatest problem - Jake Owen surely gets first crack?

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

It's been a brutal opening two weeks for Melton South and for dual coaches Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy it won’t get any easier for them when they host Sunbury in front of the Panthers loyal and faithful.

While the result for many externally looms foregone, you can bet your life Lions’ coach Travis Hodgson won't be taking his foot off the pedal, having lost two of his last three hitouts against the Panthers. Needless to add there'll be a few missing from that Panthers’ line up that got it done on those occasions.

Hodgson will understand percentage may well play a part in the latter season. In the event of ideal conditions, he will not want to waste them. The Panthers’ six-goal final term against East Point gives them some belief heading in, so expect them to show something early.

Hodgson will be all over it, homework complete, with only the exam to complete. Anything less will ask questions of the genuine nature of the Lions who are keen to bounce in 2023.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Have every reason to expect another 'down to the wire' encounter between these two well respected rivals. It's hard to gauge the early season form given the small sample size. What we do know is that East Point thrashed the struggling Panthers to kickstart their season while the Devils went 2-0 with 'modest' wins over Ballarat and Bacchus Marsh.

Just who can roll up the sleeves and raise the bar on Eastern Oval will walk away with the premiership points and remain one of just two undefeated teams in the competition.

For visitors Darley, their ability to win the ball is as good as any. The support, especially with the ball, has been encouraging but skill execution and reward for those deeds are lagging. If the Devils fail the execution test against the quality of the Kangas they will be made pay on the scoreboard.

The home side has an enviable offering of riches forward of centre with the likes of Jordy Johnston, Brad Whittaker, Bryce McDougall and Isaac Hucker waiting to pounce.

Even if you don't support either of these teams it would be worth the entry fee alone to watch elite midfielders Matty Johnston and Brett Bewley go head-to-head. Both players would agree the duel for individual bragging rights sits at 1-1.

Jordy Johnston can be a thorn in the Devils side, even the most one-eyed supporters of the black-and-white have acknowledged his x-factor brilliance. With time spent on matchups seemingly aging in footy, you can back it in there'll be at least one reserved for 'JJ'. On the other hand Bewley looms the obvious 'contain' for new Kangas coach Jackson Merrett with MJ the likely run with option. Should be a belter.    

Scoop’s tip: Darley

This clash looms a potential crystal ball moment for these two sides even this far out as both teams aim to quash each other’s finals credentials. The hierarchy of both clubs wouldn't waste a minute agreeing with the theory, but the reality is eight does not go into six. Even the poorest mathematicians can tell you that.

The Swans reached the magic 12-win mark last season to earn second spot on the ladder - a remarkable achievement given Melton (2022) and East Point (2019) have been the only other two teams to do so in the last five seasons. The Swans had (as they did many) the Lions measure narrowly at their last meet but given the small sample size to date, my opinion has swayed.

The experience lost at the Swans will take its toll on their final win-loss tally, that for me is inevitable. However, the growth of the next generation of Swans are already mounting an impact to test the more seasoned Lions list. Even if the Swans lose, the learnings for midfielders Will Liston and Paddy Simpson will be invaluable against the Lions 'footy smart' clearance king, Lachie George.

If Bailey Van de Heuvel plays, the Swans have to be some hope of containing the Lions’ avenues to goal on their home deck. He's the player that behind the ball can really set the young Swans up with his intercept marking and distribution.

Lions forward Isaac Grant has two bags of four from his opening two games and will be dangerous again. Redan too have Grant Bell, Liam Hoy, Lachie McLean and George who can hit the scoreboard. Expect the visitor’s options forward will prove too much for the Swans in an entertaining affair despite both sides looking the winner at times.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

Anzac Day footy will kick off Round 3 on Friday afternoon before a number of tantalising contests take place on Saturday as the early part of season 2025 continues to unfold.

For the second year running, Lake Wendouree and Ballarat will go head-to-head in the stand-alone Anzac Day clash.

The history between the two sides has been relatively even, but it’s Ballarat who’ve had it over the Lakers in recent years – winning the past five matchups.

You’ve got to go back to 2018 for the last time the Lakers knocked off the Swans, and they’re still chasing that elusive home win against them.

After a couple of weeks of uncharacteristic sunny weather, both sides should feel more at home this week, with a forecast that’s looking more like classic Ballarat footy weather.

It’ll put an importance on clean possession and converting opportunities, two areas both teams have been a bit shaky in so far.

The Swans are off to a great start, leading the competition last round for both inside 50s and intercept possessions. Paddy Simpson has been a key in the forward half, linking up well with veteran Andrew Hooper.

For the Lakers, the win column is still empty – but there were encouraging signs last round against reigning premiers Melton.

The return of Jake Lohman gave them a bit of spark, but he’ll be a big out this week as he suits up for Werribee in their VFL Anzac Day clash with Williamstown.

That puts the pressure on the Lakers' midfield and forward brigade to step up. They’ll need to find extra avenues to goal and bring the heat early.

Ballarat look the more settled and confident outfit at this stage, but Anzac Day footy always has a bit of unpredictability about it.

Can the Lakers break the drought, or will the Swans make it six straight?

Tip: Ballarat

If recent history is anything to go by, the away side might just have the upper hand in this one but Redan will need to pull out something special to keep that trend going when they roll into Eastern Oval to face an in-form East Point.

It’s been a while since the Roos got one over the Lions at home – the last time been 2022.

And while Redan had the better of East Point up until 2017, things have flipped since then, with the Roos taking the upper hand in most clashes since.

Joe Carmody has had his hands full at the selection table already this season, but this week it’s a good problem to have.

After a depleted line-up last round, he’s now looking at a much stronger squad with Matt Johnston, Bryson McDougall and Billy Jones all available.

There’s also a chance for Joe Dodd and Alex Molan to return from injury, which would only add more depth to the home side.

Redan are still chasing their first win of the year, but there were some positive signs in their Good Friday clash against Sunbury – especially their strong opening term.

That kind of start will be crucial again this week, particularly against an East Point outfit that’s leading the comp for first quarter performance.

Accuracy hasn’t been an issue for the Lions – they sit top two in the league when it comes to converting in front of goal – but it’s their final quarters that have left a bit to be desired.

If they want to challenge late in the game, they’ll need strong finishes from the likes of Zac Mortlock and Jacob Short, both of whom have had impressive starts to the season.

As for East Point, it’s hard to fault their form. They’re sitting on top of the ladder and with momentum and confidence, they’ll be hard to stop.

Can Redan spring a surprise and break into the winner’s column? Or will East Point continue to set the pace?

Tip: East Point

There’s just something about these two teams meeting that favours the home side.

In their last 10 meetings, the home team has won nine times – the only exception being way back in 2021, when North Ballarat managed to break through at Clarke Oval.

That stat alone gives Sunbury plenty of confidence heading into this one.

North Ballarat has the stock, no doubt about it.

On paper, they’ve got the depth and experience to be a finals contender.

But a surprise draw in Round 1 and a loss in Round 2 sees them sitting seventh on the ladder, and they’ll be desperate to get a win before next week’s task against Melton.

In terms of efficiency, North aren’t far off.

They’ve been accurate in front of goal and getting it inside 50 hasn’t been the issue.

It’s what’s happening late that’s hurting them – just 17 points total in their two final quarters. And running out of legs is going to be a real concern, especially on the big deck at Clarke Oval.

Sunbury, meanwhile, are coming off a strong Good Friday performance, showing once again they’re a team that knows how to use the footy smartly.

Expect Tyson Lever to play a key role in cutting off North’s forward entries, while the midfield will be looking to tidy up turnovers, particularly through the corridor and inside 50.

If North can bring a four-quarter performance, they’re more than capable of causing problems. But if history repeats, and they fade late again, Sunbury might just run over the top of them.

Tip: Sunbury

It’s only the second time since 2019 that Melton make the trip out to Marty Bush Reserve, and while they’ve had Sebastopol’s number in recent years – winning the last six clashes – that doesn’t tell the whole story.

Three of those six wins were decided by less than three goals, including two single-digit nail-biters – one of those being the 2022 grand final.

So, while Melton may be the reigning premiers and red-hot early in 2025, this one’s far from a walkover.

For Sebastopol, the Easter break couldn’t have come at a better time.

After a bruising Round 1 and a Round 2 performance, the Burra have had a chance to reset, rest up, and refocus.

There have been some key individual efforts, with Lach Cassidy and coach Tony Lockyer leading from the front, but it’s going to take a full-team performance to knock off the calibre of Melton.

The Bloods are looking as sharp as ever.

Braedan Kight is coming off a six-goal haul and is a massive threat inside 50, while the likes of the Carter brothers and Souter, continue to provide class and consistency all over the park.

It’s no surprise Troy Scoble’s side are yet to lose a game – they’ve been efficient.

If Sebastopol are going to push them, it starts with contested ball.

They’ll need to lift significantly in that area and bring the pressure from the first bounce.

The home ground advantage, plus a week’s rest, should give them every chance to bring the heat early and stay in the fight.

Expect this one to be closer than many might think.

Can the Burra shock the comp with a statement win, or will the Bloods continue business as normal?

Tip: Melton

The local derby between Darley and Bacchus Marsh is always a highly anticipated clash and this year's edition is shaping up to be another classic.

Sure, Darley have won the past five matchups against the Cobras, but this one’s never as straightforward as the head-to-head suggests.

Three of those five were decided by two goals or less, and the last time these two met at Darley Park, it was the Devils by just twelve points – twice – with a one-point Bacchus Marsh win in 2022 still fresh in local memory.

The Cobras come in with a bit of a buzz after Good Friday, where they unveiled Zach Tuohy, in what was a major moment for the club.

While Tuohy is still warming into things, his presence gave Bacchus Marsh a serious lift as they pushed ladder-leaders East Point for much of the match.

Darley, on the other hand, are coming off a stat blitzing Round 2.

Dan Jordan's side topped nearly every major team metric and with the class of Brett Bewley leading the way through the midfield, it’s no surprise they’re humming.

For the home side, ruck Luke Goetz is in form, leading the league in hit outs – and more importantly, hit outs to advantage – making first use crucial.

To start the season, Bacchus Marsh have shown strong first-half form, while Darley have built into games late.

If the Devils can start hot, they'll be hard to stop. But if the Cobras can weather that early storm, keep it tight at the stoppages, and hold strong through the third quarter, they’ll be right in this.

Will the Cobras break their drought, or will the Devils make it six straight in the derby?

Tip: Darley

An action packed Round 4 will give the opportunity for teams to strengthen their finals credentials, while a premiership favourite faces a good test on the road.

Scoop is here to take you through all the games coming up this weekend.

The Bloods return to MARS Stadium for the first time since their Grand Final triumph over Sebastopol in 2022. Again, Aaron Tymms' boys have rightfully retained benchmark status following a come-from-behind win over an improved Sebastopol.

The Bloods won’t want to be slow to react when they meet a determined North Ballarat who are renowned for playing their best footy at home. That observation could not be more relevant given North's win over the reigning premiers on this very ground last year.

The result certainly turned a few heads across the wider competition, but rest assure Tymms wasn't the least bit shocked of North's capabilities under Brendan McCartney. In fact, North Ballarat are 2-0 against the Bloods at MARS Stadium under McCartney.

Expect marquee big man Stewart Crameri to return to bolster North Ballarat's hopes. Whichever Blood defender gets the role, it looms arguably the toughest one-on-one match up for any in the competition.

If Crameri plays, and is contained, expect the Blood responsible to feature amongst the best even without registering a possession.

Tymms loves his role players, that's what makes them so hard to beat. The Bloods will welcome the unlikely unavailability of North Ballarat’s Collingwood VFL listed player Sam Glover, who would pose a double handful.

On the flipside North Ballarat will want to be better by foot with the bar raised this week, for the Bloods lap up any opportunity to rebound off turnover and sparingly give the ball back. North's handball connection, however, is their trump card. 

For the Bloods, the Carters brothers and Braedyn Kight are the obvious headliners forward of centre but merely front a collective 22 man buy-in, with individual returns usurped for the greater good of the team.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Rebuilding Bacchus Marsh are running out of time to notch a win with the aid of their AFL Under 18 crop as the Coates Talent League enters its penultimate week in recess.

Add the highly anticipated debut of Jake Long into the Cobras mix and they have to be some chance to remain in this game for longer than previous weeks.

In fairness, the Cobras have played Sebastopol, Darley and North Ballarat - all bona fide finals chances. Expect Cobras coach Jason Williams to start raising the bar of expectation on his players as we enter the fourth round, for their top end and Coates Talent League Under 18 affiliated talent are better than their current zero from 12 quarter win season suggests. Newcomer Long may prove the catalyst.

For Redan, they won't want to be coughing up this game as their journey toward a finals berth takes another step forward under new coach Gary Learmonth. Sure, there will be some hiccups along the way, all clubs have them. But at home against the 0-3 Cobras, a loss would be a setback.

The Lions start obvious warm favorites, their good players are all in form with the likes of Izaac Grant (14 goals), Lachie George, Pat Fitzgibbon and Jacob Werts all impressing in the opening rounds. They'll be forced to sweat on the availability of Cooper Craig-Peters (Footscray VFL). The Cobras have the potential to scare a more fancied opponent, time will tell if that is indeed Redan this week.

Scoop’s tip:Redan

Weather permitting, Sunbury hold the aces to bounce back to the winners list in emphatic style when they face the 0-2 Lakers. While the Lakers have proven to be competitive for long periods in their opening two games, their last quarters have been the cause of much frustration for second year coach Jack Fitzpatrick.

In the Round 1 loss to Redan, the Lakers conceded 6.3 to 0.2 before a near repeat fail in Round 2 against Ballarat, as they were outscored 6.2 to 2.0 in the final term.

Just what Fitzpatrick and his support staff have conjured on the back of another 14-day break remains a mystery. Surely more game time is the right medicine for the young Lakers, hinting their bye in Round 3 was untimely.

Sunbury will continue to build, nurturing good habits ahead of their Round 5 meeting with Darley. The connection with new key forward Cody Brand is already showing positive signs as a fourth week legitimises a trusty sample size ahead of the Devils. The Lakers young mids will continue to give their all, guaranteeing the Lions mids for one, will know they've played a tough game of footy.

While premiership points should never be taken for granted, especially from an enigmatic Sunbury, it's fair to say the Lions have bigger fish to fry.

There will be genuine interest in the progress of the Lions’ connection as the underdog Lakers have another crack ending a 17-game losing streak.    

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Expect Sebastopol to use this hitout against an undermanned Melton South to tweak a few things, experiment if you will, with an eye at finding alternative solutions if required to overcome more seasoned opponents, in particular competition benchmarks Melton.

Don't be surprised to see a few new faces roll through the midfield, making the most of an opportunity for depth players to find touch in a game where the result looms an inevitable conclusion.

While the Panthers showed some grit at home in their last meet at the back end of 2022, kicking 14 goals in a 29-point loss, a repeat of that scoreline given the small sample size this year is unlikely.

Games into young talent and further learnings for the more established Panthers will be the theme of the day with an aim at minimising the carnage on the scoreboard. It's been a tough opening month for the Panthers - Melton, East Point, Sunbury and now Sebastopol.

The Burra are likely to miss Lachie Cassidy (hamstring) for a period with the extent of the strain to be treated more on the cautious side referencing a return. The challenge for some of the Burra crop will be holding their place in the side. Impressing against the Panthers will do their prospects no harm.  

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

These two sides represent a common theme across the 2023 BFNL competition - the path of youth. This Round 4 meeting at Alfredton Oval provides another opportunity to showcase the exciting organic talent from around the region.

How that comes to fruition at senior level around more experienced personnel will be worth the watch. Each side has near double-digit numbers aged 20 or under, so if you're contemplating which game to go to amid a full round of games in Ballarat, this may be the pick of them.

But don't expect to see this year’s premiers, rather an appreciation of youth and quality top end talent chasing a second win of the season for their respective teams.

The Swans’ winning chances hit a snag with the injury to progressive young midfielder Paddy Simpson, who has impressed in his new role. Simpson is expected to miss at least a month after his injury setback. Furthermore, the availability of Swans VFL listed trio Bailey Van de Heuvel (Geelong), Angus Bade (Footscray) and Tristan Maple (Footscray) will play its own role impacting the result.

Kanga’s duo Jackson Merrett and Joe Dodd are nearing a return but could be another week away leaving it, to a degree, a battle of the young guns. The Johnston brothers will again have a major say in the fortunes of the Kangas and how much ball forward they can get to Brad Whittaker, Bryce McDougall and the likes of Liam Canny and Jack Jeffrey.

It should be a ripping game, the Swans however will need to play out of their skins to contain the Kangas. If Andrew Hooper can get off the hook forward for the Swans, there may be some cause for concern for the 2018 and 2019 premiers.     

Scoop’s tip: East Point

With early season form lines starting to take shape, Round 4 presents as an opportunity for teams to continue their winning ways and rectify slow starts.

Dennis Armfield’s Cobras will look to jump the Lions early, coming off their bye in round three, aiming toward a first half-time lead of the season.

The visitors arrive with a sprightly 2-0 record under Matthew White and will like their chances to make it a hattrick of wins on a firm deck expected at Maddingley Park.

The midfield battle provides plenty of interest with Lions trio Josh Guthrie, Jake Egan and Ben Cameron up against welcoming party Jake McCreery, Tyson Shea and Josh Huxtable.

Just who can extricate best from a high number of predicted stoppages at the feet of Fraser Ampulski and Luke Goetz will have a large say in the territory game and inevitably the result.

While both sides provide varied options forward, it's Lions’ lead up spearhead Jake Sutton that looms the Cobras’ greatest challenge.

The snowy haired former Essendon VFL listed player has 11 goals already from his opening two games.

Rye Penny is the Cobras’ best defender but given his rebound attacking style it may be a case of 'robbing Peter to pay Paul' entertaining the unlikely match-up.

The Cobras have a significant presence forward of their own with Jake Owen, Joel Freeman and Isaac Nixon all aerially capable.

Fans of the red, yellow and black will be hopeful they have their kicking boots on providing every chance kicking a winning score.

Tipping you'll need to be in the 80 points range at the final siren to earn the 'W'.    

PLAYER WATCH
Ben Cameron (Sunbury #26)
newcomer averaging 25 disposals. Ranks #2 in the comp for ground ball gets, #7 for hard ball gets, #8 for handballs. Handy type.

Jake McCreery (Bacchus Marsh #20)
Ranks #2 in the comp for Pressure and #1 at the club for inside 50s.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

The Lions host Sebastopol at City Oval in one of the more evenly weighted games in Ballarat for the round.

While I’m prepared to afford Sebastopol a 'mulligan' for their disappointing loss to East Point under the lights at Eastern Oval last week I won't be going as far as tipping them.

With a kind draw this season I still expect the Burra to feature at the business end.

They're not in the Melton conversation we know that, but not many are so let's temper expectations a bit.

This match will tell us even more about where the Burra are at. Sure, personnel reads well on paper but what is their ceiling? Can the 30-50 game players get any better, it's not a given.

Footy is a hard game to play let alone developing into an impact player week in week out after 38 hours on the tools.  

Redan too have a promising group of progressive types with even less experience than their Burra counterparts and will again be asked for the 'impact' effort alongside senior bodies Lachie George, Grant Bell, Patrick Fitzgibbon and Daniel Bond.

The Lions have been without star recruit Lachie Bond and dangerous forward Lachie McLean for their opening three games (W1L2) so now looms as good as time as any for Tony Locker's men to earn valuable premiership points.

Easier said than done however as was proven the case at their last meeting at Marty Busch Reserve ahead of last year’s finals series when the Lions won by 20 points.

PLAYER WATCH

Rory Gunsser (Redan #8)
Left foot distributer - comp rank #10 for disposals averaging 25.7 inc. 20 of those kicks.

Lachlan Cassidy (Sebastopol #12)
'Elite' numbers in most areas including comp rank #1 for tackles, #3 for handballs, #4 for pressure, #6 for score involvements, #7 for clearances.

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

After a tough draw to start the season, Brendan McCartney's one win, one loss Roosters get an opportunity to consolidate with a win over the Lakers (0-3) at Mars Stadium.

Despite missing a handful of top end talent the frugal Roosters barely gave an inch to last year's minor (Melton) and major Premiers (Darley) winning four of the eight quarters including a win.

Any side would take that, especially in the absence of key personnel.

So, what is to gain for the Roosters against the Lakers? A game spent more on their own terms for starters - so finding more ways to goal on the back of that hard work witnessed in their opening two games will enhance their threat even further. 

I've no doubt the Lakers will deliver some contested resistance for periods but it's the impact of scoring either side of those periods for North Ballarat that provides the greatest means for an interesting read in the aftermath.  

Expect North Ballarat to be too strong replicating a margin similar to their previous meet (68 points) and Jamie Quick to get his first bag of the season (five) and match it with a further five score involvements.

Saturday looms as the Lakers’ greatest challenge of the season in so many ways despite losses to Sebastopol, Bacchus Marsh and Ballarat in the opening three weeks. The reality is the Lakers rank 10th for average points scored, scores against, shots on goal, and quarters won.

PLAYER WATCH
Isaac Carey (North Ballarat)
Enjoying his role at wing and half back. Is top 15 in the comp for rebound 50s, defensive 50 tackles, Intercepts and knock ons.

Tom Zampatti (Lake Wendouree)
Important key tall ranks #2 in comp for throw-in clearances and #5 for hit-outs.

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Saturday's match up between league improvers Ballarat and the reigning premier will tell us more about Chris Maple's Swans following wins over Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

How the Swans progressive midfield group cope against experienced Devils’ quartet Billy Myers, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham will go a long way validating the separation on the scoreboard.

The Devils will need to maintain their clearance efficiency advantage (63%-56%) over the Swans or risk being exposed on the spread.

The Swans should hold the faith, believing their group is capable of netting a big fish.

Given their 3-0 start, Saturday's opportunity in front of a home crowd looms the ideal stage to announce their 'official' arrival.

BUT, the Swans will be made to earn that right, with questions raised on all lines.

While the Swans’ abundant leg speed presents a challenge for any opposition, the Devils pose a different assignment altogether (aerially and at ground level) than Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

The Devils are still shifting through their gears since their dominant opening round win over East Point and will aim to peak for longer periods.

For the record, the Devils have won 22 of their last 25 BFNL games.

Swans inclusions Rhett Montgomery (Footscray VFL), Lachie Dalgleish and the availability of Tristan Maple (Footscray VFL) and Angus Bade (Footscray VFL) will only help the hosts cause, denying a versatile and formidable Devils front six led by inform duo Wil Johnson and Brady Wright.   

Naturally, experienced Swans small forward Andrew Hooper will generate his usual level of attention.

PLAYER WATCH
Lewis Rinaldi (Ballarat #24)
Averaging 24 possessions per game, 14 contested (team rank #2), 7 clearances (team rank #1).

Mitch Ward (Darley #9)
Currently the Devils #1 turnover defender (#7 in the comp).

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

It's back to the drawing board again for Travis Hodgson's Melton South following the surprise inclusion of four top end Ovens and Murray league players in last week’s 10 goal loss to Redan.

Given the cameo nature of their selections last week we can hardly call them genuine 'outs' but I’m sure Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody is a little relieved his group has been spared the match up.

In reality, it's a case of how far the Kangas on Saturday at Eastern Oval, a venue the Panthers have been on the wrong end of some big losses in recent years.

Will we see the first big bag of 10 goals from one individual? Kangas’ trio Jordy Johnston, Bryson McDougall and Strahan Robinson are the obvious front runners and more than capable.

Party stuff aside, Carmody will look to build on good habits. Sure, selflessness and pressure in the front half are on his radar but it’s the back six and their organisation that will be his biggest (season long) project.

Carmody led the Swans into a Preliminary Final in 2022 on the back of sound, organised defence and will replicate some of those traits at his new club.

For Hodgson, another 100 minutes of senior experience into his young group will aid the rebuild theme as the struggling club aims for a 'mini win' even if that be a quarter of football.

The Panthers won 1/64 quarters in 2023 and are 0/12 for the new season.

The challenge continues.

PLAYER WATCH
Jackson Merrett (East Point #1)
Relinquished of coaching duties, injury free and returned with 38 disposals last week in tough conditions.

Darby Schilder (Melton South #14)
Geelong VFL listed made solid impression first up with 20 disposals @75% including 8 marks (3 contested). Plays key back, plenty will be asked of him on Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

With first wins of the year beckoning and the chance for redemption after finals knockouts last season, there are plenty of big games on the fixture for Round 4

It’s been six years since Sunbury last defeated Ballarat on their home deck, but this weekend presents a prime opportunity to snap that streak.

The Lions will no doubt carry some extra motivation into this one, after the Swans crushed their 2024 finals hopes with a heartbreaking late goal in their last meeting.

Fresh off a dominant 48-point win over North Ballarat, Sunbury arrive full of confidence — and with the stats to back it up.

The Lions lead the competition for average disposals after three rounds, highlighting their control and work rate around the ground.

Statistically, these two sides match up closely across most key metrics: contested possessions, intercepts, clearances, and inside 50s are all neck-and-neck.

That means the game will likely be won in the finer details — discipline, execution under pressure, and conversion efficiency.

One area to watch will be the opening quarter.

Ballarat are yet to win a first term this season, while Sunbury have made strong starts a feature of their campaign so far.

However, the Lions have struggled to maintain momentum through the third quarter — a vulnerability the Swans will want to exploit.

Ballarat's ability to lock down in second quarters and close out games has been a hallmark of their unbeaten start.

Consistent performers like Lewis Rinaldi will again be central to the Swans' effort, especially if they can limit Sunbury’s ability to move the ball freely early.

If Ballarat can hold firm in the opening term and deny the Lions their usual fast start, they’ll give themselves every chance to maintain their unbeaten record. But if Sunbury bring the same intensity from Round 3, revenge may be on the cards.

Tip:Sunbury

Both Lake Wendouree and Darley have endured tough opening fixtures, each facing three teams currently inside the top six.

But while Darley have managed to find a way to win two of those games, the Lakers are still searching for their first victory of the season.

The Devils have built their early success on defensive pressure, conceding just 66 points per game on average.

Billy Myers has been instrumental down back, averaging 10 intercept possessions and 29 disposals per game — a key reason why Darley have looked so composed under pressure.

For the Lakers, the challenge will be stopping Darley’s slick ball movement and inside 50 dominance.

Rohan Brown’s crew have allowed an average of 112 points per game to opposition sides — a figure that will need to be drastically reduced if they’re to contain the Devils.

The midfield battle shapes as a key area.

With Brett Bewley and Nick Hind controlling the play for Darley, the Lakers will need to respond with run and spread on the outside.

Kynan Raven and co-captain Angus Gove will be crucial in trying to generate overlap and speed from stoppages to mitigate Darley’s contested strength.

Should Lucas Impey return for the Devils, his presence in the ruck could give them another serious edge.

He’s averaged 58 hit outs in his two games this season and adds VFL-level experience from his time with Williamstown.

History doesn’t favour the home side either — Darley have won their last four encounters against Lake Wendouree, with each of those wins coming by margins of 70 points or more.

It’s a big task ahead for the Lakers, but if they can apply four quarters of pressure and deny Darley easy entries, they’ll at least give themselves a chance to break the trend.

Tip:Darley

When these two sides last met in Round 13 last year, it was a cold, tough day for North Ballarat — managing just 1.7.13, their lowest ever score in the competition.

A far cry from the promising outing they’d had earlier that same season when they pushed the eventual premiers to within a single goal.

It's been eight years since the Roosters last tasted victory at MacPherson Park, and if they’re to break that drought and notch their first win of 2025, a lot needs to fall into place.

A lead at quarter time would be a crucial step.

North’s final quarters have been their achilles heel this season, scoring just 32 total points across their three fourth terms.

They'll need to build scoreboard pressure early and sustain it through three quarters to have any shot at toppling the reigning premiers.

One of the biggest challenges? Limiting Melton’s clean, structured ball movement — particularly inside 50.

The Bloods are averaging a league-high 19.3 marks inside forward 50, compared to North’s average of just 7.

That stat alone underlines the class divide when it comes to forward efficiency.

If North are to limit the damage, a big performance from Denver Grainger-Barras would be ideal.

His ability to read the ball and float across defensive contests, as seen in Round 2, could be key in cutting off Melton’s supply to the dangerous forward line.

Both sides are relatively evenly matched when it comes to contested possessions — which means the game is likely to be decided on polish and execution.

Melton's advantage in clean ball use, decision-making, and forward efficiency could prove too much unless North can apply relentless pressure and turn defence into quick, clean transition.

Tip: Melton

For Gary Learmonth and Tony Lockyer, 0-3 probably wasn’t the way they envisioned kicking off their 2025 campaigns — but for one of them, Round 4 offers the perfect opportunity to hit reset.

Sebastopol could be forgiven for their start, having drawn a brutal opening fixture against what is currently the top three sides on the ladder. Their clash with a fellow winless side in Redan couldn't be better timed as they look to kick-start their season.

Redan, on the other hand, have been hit hard by the injury curse they were hoping to leave behind in 2024. It's already forced Learmonth to reshuffle his squad and lean on some promising Under 18.5 talent to fill the void.

Sebastopol will also be without key leadership on the field, with coach and on-baller Tony Lockyer sidelined with an arm injury. His absence will be felt — particularly in a game likely to be decided in the contest.

Both sides rank at the bottom of the League for contested possessions after Round 3, making the midfield battle absolutely crucial.

Redan’s early game energy will need to be sustained if they want to avoid another second-half fade-out, while Sebastopol must weather that early storm and apply scoreboard pressure of their own.

Expect players like Ben Hutt and Rory Gunsser to be vital in stopping opposition entries.

The Burra have shown they can push the League’s best. The Lions have shown they can jump teams early. If Sebastopol can match Redan in the first quarter, they might just lay the groundwork for their first win of the year.

Tip:Sebastopol

Round 5 presents a number of tantalising contests, with the opportunity for first wins and the chance to break away from the pack on the cards for some clubs. Scoop previews all the action coming up this weekend.

Some will suggest that the winner of this contest will assume the third seed favouritism for the flag behind premiership fancies, Melton and Sebastopol, by the time Round 5 concludes.

While the result will not define either side’s season, the outcome should tell us more about Sunbury and their level of improvement.

If you go back to grasp a better sample size of recent form from the Lions, while missing last year’s finals, Sunbury are 6-2 from their last eight games, while Darley sit at 7-1.

If you wanted to dig a little deeper into the form, matches against top six (from last year) opposition sees the Devils with a 5-3 record ahead of the Lions 2-6. Hence the call of onus on Travis Hodgson's near full strength line up at home getting it done.

Not only is Sunbury's list healthy, off-season recruits, Cody Brand, Rivva Karpany and Josiah Garisto have been significant, not mentioning the full-time additions of Mitch Lewis (ex-Port Melbourne VFL) and Josh Guthrie (North Melbourne VFL) - the Lions are primed for success in 2023.

How these two sides settle into their work early will be interesting given the Devils are coming off the bye and Sunbury with dominant wins over the Lakers and Melton South.

Whether the Devils can secure VFL listed duo Mace Cousins and Bailey Young will be important to their chances. The want to bat as deep into the list will likely play its own role in the result.

The best players from both sides have started well in 2023, so there'll be no excuses. Sunbury will start favorites, on home ground advantage alone, and will be keen to play as such. It's fair to say the Lions let their last two matches against the Devils slip through their fingers.

A three peat is unlikely so another mature effort (and some) from Dan Jordan's Devils will be required if they're to leave Clarke Oval with the Premiership points. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

If you're in the 'firm believer' camp regarding Sebastopol's flag prospects this season, expect them to take care of Ballarat on Alfredton Oval and go 3-1 come 5pm on Saturday.

The Burra look more seasoned than the young Swans, with bigger bodies and greater depth. Those features alone will have an impact the further this game goes. In fairness to the Swans, they're under no illusions where they're at and would be the first to accept the underdog tag heading in.

Win/loss aside Swans’ coach Chris Maple will be looking for his young group to hang in longer and take more of their opportunities as they present. Failure to do so will be validated on the scoreboard.

Not to be outdone or ahead of themselves, the Burra concede they too remain a work-in-progress so expect coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro to flirt with the magnets as they strive to find the right combination to challenge for the title moving forward.

The Swans will ask questions of a few Burra players and their capabilities. The job on Swans’ sharpshooter Andrew Hooper is always a difficult task while negating Marcus Powling in the ruck carries its own levels of interest.

Swans midfielder Will Liston has been the beneficiary of Powling's work to be among the top possession winners on the ground. Kiel and Columbro touched on their desire to be a running team with efficient distribution. A run-with-role on Liston will soon determine the running capabilities of a few.

It was pleasing to see Toby Hutt kick a bag of 10 goals last week, he's likely to prove a handful again on projected weight of entries alone. Angus Bade looks the likely match up.

Swans coach Chris Maple summed it up perfectly last week identifying the gulf between their best and worst footy. For how long they bring their best looms their greatest challenge again for anything shy of it could see the young Swans on the wrong end of a blow-out.   

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Despite a 3-1 season record (wins over 8th, 9th, 10th) for Redan and an impressive eight wins from their last nine games, reigning Premiers Melton loom a different assignment altogether.

I thought one lifelong Lions’ fan in particular was getting a little ahead of themselves last week touting this match to be top billing, essentially 1v2. Brave call, but for all of Redan's recent form, it pales in comparison to the mighty Bloods.

Redan finished within 10 points on City Oval at their last meet with Melton but the competitions' benchmark was coming off a rare 21-day break and seemingly off their mantle, struggling with the restart.

Don’t expect the Bloods to give the plucky Lions much of a sniff especially if the weather holds up. While one might expect the Bloods to continue on their winning ways, the Lions will be hopeful as many of three of their missing six players from last week can return, giving their slim chances of an upset win a welcoming boost - none more so than Footscray VFL affiliate Cooper Craig-Peters.

Melton are not at their best just yet, having trailed at half-time for a second time in three weeks but glimpses of what that resembles has been scary good, against quality opposition - Sunbury, Sebastopol and North Ballarat.

Expect the Bloods to have too many winners across the ground and prove too strong for the Lions.   

Scoop’s tip: Melton

For all of North Ballarat's promise (2-2) they've still only won three of their last 10 games giving East Point (2-1) every reason to think they can win at home in an all-important game for both teams.

While the belief that North Ballarat are well and truly in the finals mix this year on sample size thus far, coach Brendan McCartney will be hoping for more evidence of progress against the Kangas. Let's not forget North Ballarat led Melton at half-time last week and turned a few heads midafternoon while East Point piled on nine goals against Ballarat in a match winning second quarter blitz.

North Ballarat will have to get it done without Stewart Crameri (groin) who failed to return after leaving the ground in the third term last week. But the reinforcements, the next gen of North Ballarat soldiers, are well drilled, can run, and not shy on confidence. Surely, it's McCartney's undeniable belief in his boys that exudes the confidence.

There is no reason why North Ballarat can't build on that honest hitout against the Bloods and look the winners for the most part in this game, but if opportunities are not taken, the Kangas will surely swoop.

The Johnston brothers and Alex Molan have led the Kangas midfield while usual suspects Bryce McDougall and Brad Whittaker have looked dangerous forward of centre along with a swarm of young talent waiting to impact at ground level.

Jackson Merrett and Jo Dodd couldn't be far from a return to give the Kangas a major boost but I’m happy to go with my gut at the moment predicting a win for the visitors.     

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

While winless, on the road, and coming off an 18-game losing streak, Expect Lake Wendouree to bring the heat, and even go in favourites, against fellow cellar dwellers Melton South.

On exposed form, bragging rights and a long-awaited celebration are at stake as these two struggling clubs go head-to-head.

Finding a winner despite the winless nature of the two will be easier for most, with every right to assume the Lakers hold the advantage on form, having been competitive for longer periods in their three games to date.

However, Melton South will not know themselves this week on the back of a horror draw namely Melton, East Point, Sunbury and Sebastopol. How they cope with a more evenly matched opposition will go a long way to determining their genuine winning chances.

Either side will be made to earn it, even if the Panthers start underdogs despite being at home. They may have some confidence behind them having beaten the Lakers in Ballarat at their last meet.

Mini wins are a bonus for all clubs in the context of the season but for these two sides there's no such thing. It will be a major result for the winners, and only contemplation of what's next awaits the loser.

This should be an entertaining game. Unfortunately, the Panthers may be too many troops shy of their best 22 to win in front of their faithful. The Lakers while made to earn it, will be hopeful it could be all smiles ahead of the journey home.

Scoop’s tip: Lake Wendouree

Looking ahead to the Round 5 action there is plenty on the line already early on in the 2024 season. With contender or pretender status still up in the air there is everything to play for come Saturday.

The underdog tag won't phase Gary Learmonth's Redan given their recent record over the reigning premiers. And nor will the venue!

For the record the Lions have won four of the last five meetings between the two sides, three of those as underdogs and on three occasions at Darley Park.

The youthful Redan lineup set with the tough assignment will include as many as 10 players still eligible for the Under 19's. Rest assured they're not coming for the experience, rather every intention of winning.

Unfortunately for the Lions I can't see the result ending in anything but an experience. Since the Devils’ upset loss at the hands of Redan (Round 10, 2023),

Dan Jordan's men have gone 10-0 at home with an average winning margin of 62 points! Take the Melton South thrashing (212pts) out and you're still left with a 45+ points advantage.

The Devils are still hitting their straps, striving for the best version of themselves for four quarters.

Jordan is a coach always looking forward but I'm sure the anomalies of recent head-to-head results v Redan has not left the memory bank.

Expect the Devils to be on their mettle, a mission of their own to an extent, putting this game to bed early against a predominantly young group craving for any momentum or sniff of a repeat upset.    

PLAYER WATCH
Leigh Spiteri (Darley)
In form small forward dangerous around goal, four & three majors last two weeks.

Riley Collins (Redan)
Sandringham Dragons rep - clean small forward who has impressed in opening few games. Had 15 disposals last week v Sebastopol, 10 contested.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

The Bloods (3-0) return fresh off the bye for a match-up against league improvers Ballarat.

The bye can play tricks on preparation and translate to starts in games and your capacity to run out games given the interruption, albeit just a week.

For this early time of year especially, teams, and players more to the point, would prefer continuity with their footy in the form of a game every week.

Given the part time nature of the competition, sides can slumber in the void of continuity.

Thats what visiting Swans coach Chris Maple will be hoping for when his young group make the trip to MacPherson Park, hopeful any edge will aid their mission.

The Swans endured a lesson from the Devils last week and will be looking for an immediate response, especially early to get the Bloods on the hop.

If the Swans can be up and about early and it translated to the scoreboard, surely it provides the means of an outside 'throw at the stumps' chance.

Forget last year’s visit from the Swans to MacPherson Park, they're an improved proposition in the here and now.

Yep, the Devils got hold of them last week, but Dan Jordan's army were made to play well and earn the 64-point win.

The same will be asked of Troy Scoble's Melton.

What level of threat the Swans pose to the powerful Bloods will be validated on the scoreboard.

The 'W' I anticipate is beyond them. I won't be on my own with that assessment but there's a curiosity out of both camps and more broadly across the competition, the gap size between the two.

Saturday will tell us.

PLAYER WATCH
Ryan Davis (Melton)
Small forward who can fly under the radar (6 goals / 3 games).

Callan Wellings (Ballarat)
Ex Collingwood VFL knows how to find the footy - had 22 disposals last week v Darley.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Hosts Sunbury (3-0) have done everything right ahead of their first hit out against genuine league heavyweights North Ballarat (2-1).

The Lions look well organised under new coach Matty White.

Compliance to team plan demands are being met on the back of thriving fitness levels and the addition of a handful of players all having an impact in their opening three games.

Sure, the Lions had Redan, Melton South, Bacchus Marsh and duly saluted but they look primed for a timely footy audit on their home deck.

North Ballarat will deny Sunbury the 'outside ball' they've been used to in their three wins to date and will be made to earn every possession, forward 50 entry and score.

Can the Lions withstand the frugal nature of Brendan McCartney's group who deny you any easy ball?

Despite finishing runners-up last year, the Roosters have also added impact players to their make up for the 2024 season, and to great effect given the small sample size.

The visitors have had a tough opening month post bye in Round One having already played Darley (W), Melton (L) and the Lakers (W) and should be ready for the next real challenge that is Sunbury on the big ground at Clarke Oval.

The result of this game will not surprise either way.

Sunbury will start deserved underdogs and will need to replicate finals like qualities to get the job done.

Jack Riding returns from Werribee VFL (bye) for North Ballarat and will provide another hurdle for the Lions to overcome despite the absence of Jamie Quick (doubtful).

The Lions are healthy, in-sync and ready for the North Ballarat challenge.

Surely, they're up to it, aren't they?

PLAYER WATCH
Nathan Wood (Sunbury)
Small defender, solid start to the season - had 27 disposals last week v Bacchus Marsh.

Mal White (North Ballarat)
Newcomer on the rise at new club with another solid game last week including 28 disposals and 2 goals v Lake Wendouree.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Given the Burras (1-3) struggles to start the season the Cobras (1-3) are right in with a chance recording a second win in Ballarat from as many visits in the opening five rounds.

Injuries to key Burra playmakers Lachie Cassidy (calf) and Riley O'Keefe (arm) will aid the Cobras’ cause despite the expected inclusions of Werribee listed pair Jay Dahlhaus and Jesse Clark who have the bye in the VFL.

The absence of Jack Bambury (hamstring) hasn't helped the Burra either.

A change of luck, albeit a win will at least get Sebastopol's season back on track in the short term.

A fourth loss in a row however, will hinder their finals chances despite a favourable draw.

For the Cobras, evidence of growth under Dennis Armfield from week to week is paramount.

Bacchus Marsh will arrive with no excuses, sharing a similar age profile to the hosts and give themselves a genuine hope.

Both sides aren't travelling well on the results front but have had their moments of quality play.

More of 'those' moments surely creates more positivity and confidence for two groups aiming to work their way back squaring the ledger.

Can the Cobras execute on the basic fundamentals for long enough to warrant the four premiership points?

That is their greatest challenge for their efforts without the ball have shown merit. 

The Burra on the other hand will be trying everything to avoid a 1-4 start under new coach Tony Lockyer.

PLAYER WATCH
Jed Hill (Sebastopol)
17 disposals last week against Redan. More will be asked of Hill in 2024 between the arcs as he's moved up the ground. More than capable player.

Ethan McKercher (Bacchus Marsh)
Livewire small forward. Doesn't need many possessions to have an impact (21 disp and a goal last week v Sunbury).

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

East Point (2-1) travel across town for a meeting with the Lakers (0-4) ahead of their Round 6 'ultimate challenge' on the road against Melton (3-0).

Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody will look to consolidate further on the good habits of the previous two weeks with another big win over the struggling Lakers.

Just how the hosts contain the Johnston brothers, season return pair Mikitja Rottumah-Onus and Jacob Brown and dangerous forward Strahan Robinson and Bryson McDougall looms a four-quarter struggle.

I can see the Lakers matching it with East for two quarters on the whole, take your pick which ones.

Tipping the final margin on the scoreboard will be reflective of the two quarters East Point were able to 'getaway'.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown has remained positive throughout despite the four losses and will be looking for a response from his young team that can equate to a few 'mini-wins' in game, against a more fancied visiting party.

Unfortunately, we haven't seen much of Lakers exciting new recruit Jayden Wright (ankle - Round 1) but the progress of tall duo Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty will again be on display as the hosts aim to spoil the party for the East Point Kangaroos.

PLAYER WATCH
Angus Gove (Lake Wendouree)
Honest as they come, and you can expect much of the same on the weekend. Had a team high 27 disposals last week v North Ballarat.

Jacob Brown (East Point)
Return game to club last week ended in BOG recognition with his 34 disposals and 16 marks v Melton South.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

There will be one eye on premiership favouritism ahead of this weekend with some of the big contenders set to face off, while at the other end of the ladder an inaugural 'W' on the board could kick start a team's season.

Saturday’s clash at Darley Park sees two sides at different ends of the momentum spectrum — with the Devils riding high after a dominant Round 4 performance, and Ballarat searching for answers after a bruising second-half fadeout.

It’s the first time in four seasons that these two will square off twice during the home and away fixture, and although Darley have had the upper hand in their last two meetings, there’s still a bit of unfinished business between the pair — none more memorable than the 2022 Semi Final classic where the Swans pinched a one-point win.

But history at Darley Park doesn’t favour the visitors.

Ballarat have walked away with the four points on just four of their 19 visits to the ground.

If they’re to re-write that stat, the Swans will need a serious four-quarter effort — something they didn’t produce last week when Sunbury dismantled them after halftime.

Winning the contested ball and cutting off Darley’s clean possession chains will be key, particularly in the middle where the Devils' midfield have been damaging.

Ballarat have shown gradual improvement in defensive pressure, with Zac Haintz holding firm down back and Fraser Perkins bringing tackle pressure around the contest.

But to challenge the Devils, they’ll need to lift their work rate across the ground and limit Darley’s ability to control the air through marks and transition.

Coming off an ample win over Lake Wendouree, Dan Jordan’s Devils look to be hitting their stride. For Ballarat, it’s about rediscovering theirs — and fast.

Tip:Darley

Fresh off registering their first win of the season, Redan now face a big test early days in the competition — a clash with the reigning premiers and unbeaten Melton.

While Round 4 delivered much-needed relief for the Lions, Melton’s narrow escape against North Ballarat was likely a bit too close for comfort.

That result may only sharpen the Bloods' focus heading into this one.

Redan’s ability to stay in the contest has been underpinned by strong individual form.

Brody Pope continues to impress with his ball-winning ability and work rate, while Jake Connolly’s consistent output across the first month has been a key pillar for the Lions.

But as they prepare to take on one of the competition’s most disciplined outfits, it will take far more than a few standout performances — it’ll require a genuine team-wide lift.

Both sides have shown no trouble in generating inside 50s, but it’s what happens next that may well decide the outcome.

Redan rank lowest in the competition for forward entry efficiency — a stat that simply must improve if they’re to keep this close. Melton’s polished ball movement and dangerous forward setup will take advantage of any wastefulness.

For the Bloods, Jaycob Hickey continues to be one of the quiet drivers of their success, linking play with precision.

Blake Souter’s relentless tackling pressure and regular score involvements have also made him a tough matchup for any side.

Melton will be out to keep their perfect record intact, while Redan will view this as a huge opportunity to take a big scalp and climb closer to the top six.

Tip:Melton

Still chasing their first win of the 2025 season, North Ballarat will be hoping home ground history is on their side as they host Bacchus Marsh in what despite early days, looms as a crucial game for both teams’ finals ambitions.

The Roosters have a dominant record over the Cobras at home, having won 27 of their 31 meetings, with Bacchus Marsh last tasting success on North’s turf back in 2017.

With both sides expected to be genuine top six contenders, this clash holds more weight than just four points.

For the Cobras, a win would provide a handy buffer inside the top six — especially with games against Ballarat and Melton coming up.

For Clint Proctor’s North Ballarat, banking four points here would set up a critical next fortnight, with more winnable matches to come against teams outside the top tier.

If North are to get it done, they’ll need to lean into their speed and movement, particularly through the middle of the ground, to sidestep Bacchus Marsh’s trademark tackling pressure and defensive setup.

Improving their efficiency inside 50 will also be a key focus — the Roosters will want more marks inside forward 50 and better conversion than what they managed last week in their loss to Melton.

On the other hand, Dennis Armfield’s Cobras will be looking to patch up their third quarter fade-outs, where they’re yet to get the better of their opposition — and find ways to win more hard ball and contested possession around the ground.

With both teams having plenty to gain, Saturday’s clash could be a defining early chapter in their 2025 campaigns.

Tip: Bacchus Marsh

It’s a big opportunity for both Sebastopol and Lake Wendouree to finally get on the board in 2025 as two winless sides meet in a crucial early-season clash.

The Burra came agonisingly close last week, falling just two points short of Redan in a contest they were in up to their necks all day.

While still chasing that first win, Sebastopol have shown flashes of finals-quality football — now it’s about sustaining that across four quarters.

For Lake Wendouree, fast starts have been encouraging, but their inability to sustain effort beyond quarter time has rued their chances week after week.

After being blown away in the second half against Darley, the Lakers must focus on stringing together a consistent, competitive performance.

Sebastopol have taken plenty of marks so far this season, but they’re being let down at the source.

To take control of this contest, they'll need to lift in contested ball and improve their forward entries.

Connecting more cleanly with target man Hugo Papst — who has the ability to make a real impact — could go a long way to unlocking scoreboard pressure.

The Lakers have found a big contributor in the ruck in Tom Zampatti, who continues to dominate the hit-outs.

The challenge now is capitalising on his work — gaining possession, maintaining control, and using the ball with more efficiency going forward.

Neither side would have pencilled in Round 5 sitting 9th and 10th on the ladder, but it’s the Burra who have held up better in terms of percentage and competitive consistency.

A win here could spark their campaign and lift them back into the mix for a top six spot.

Tip:Sebastopol

There’s no place like home for Sunbury.

The Lions will be out to defend their record this weekend as they host an unbeaten East Point side in a clash that could have major top four implications.

While the Roos managed to get the better of the Lions on their own turf last season, the head-to-head history slightly favours Sunbury, especially at Clarke Oval - where the home side has consistently found another gear.

East Point enter Round 5 without a blemish, though their upcoming fortnight — featuring both Sunbury and Melton — will truly test their early credentials.

Meanwhile, Sunbury have only dropped their season opener to Darley and have been trending upward since, especially on the stats sheet.

The Lions currently lead the competition for disposals, hard ball gets, and intercept possessions — numbers that reflect their clean use across the ground.

However, the two teams are almost neck and neck in clearances, inside 50s, and contested possessions, making this clash one likely to be decided by moments of efficiency and pressure, rather than dominance.

Both sides typically start strong, so whoever can edge ahead early will have the advantage.

Sunbury’s forward pairing of Jake Sutton and Jake Egan — fresh off five goals apiece — will be major threats.

The Roos’ defensive duo of Liam Howard and Jacob Brown will need to be at their absolute best to curb their influence.

Injury setbacks to Paddy Hannaford and Max Wilson will force East Point into some structural changes, with Joe Dodd expected to return to bolster the side.

A win here won’t just be about four points — it could cement a foothold in the top four and signal early intent for the premiership race.

Tip:Sunbury

Get set for a massive weekend of BFNL football action with a number of tantalising contests across the league as we close in on the opening third of season 2024.

Given what transpired at their last meeting it's hard to fathom visiting Sebastopol's chances of repeating the dose are slim at best.

Ironically it was barely 10 games ago the Burra were seemingly up and about heading into a final’s series on the back of a 22-point win over the Roosters.

Unfortunately for Tony Lockyer's group, barring the 80-point win over the Lakers in Round 1, Burra fans have had little to smile about.

And this week’s assignment doesn't get any easier for the Burra who head to Mars Stadium aiming to avoid a fifth straight loss.

The hosts deserve a forgiven run for their failings on the road against Sunbury last week for they were decimated for reasons beyond their control.

Any resemblance of Brendan McCartney's group to the one that downed the Devils in Round 2 or were within a goal of Melton will likely prove too much for the Burra who have had their own share of bad luck with injury and unavailability.

Given the current landscape McCartney will be just happy banking the win and seeing his players healthy with a response following last week’s disappointment.

And I expect them to do so against a Burra outfit completely bereft of confidence. What confidence they do in fact have will not be enough to trouble the Roosters on their home deck.

Lockyer is a realist, he'll be citing 'mini wins' throughout the afternoon to validate signs of improvement given an upset result is firmly in the 'highly unlikely' basket.

While the thought of the Burra slipping to 1-5 on the win/loss front and entrenched in the bottom three, the Roosters will be keen to return to the winners list themselves, avoiding the unlikely scenario going 2 wins and 3 loses come 5pm.

PLAYER WATCH
Brock Leonard (North Ballarat)
Enjoying break-out season with elite returns in most areas - disposals (26.8), Contested possessions 14.8), Handballs (13.2), Clearances (7.5), Inside 50'5 (4.8), Tackles (7.8), Turnovers (5.5), Ground ball gets (11).

Bailey Medwell (Sebastopol)
Shinng light in tough start to the Burra season. Ranks elite for disposals (23.8), Contested possessions (12), Handballs (13), Marks (7.2) and Groundball gets (8.6)

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Who could forget the Kangas’ nail-biting upset win over the Bloods in last year’s Semi Final?

Well, Melton can.

A fresh set of eyes in the name of a coach into the 2024 season has re-invigorated a Bloods list determined to deliver on a range of new goals and KPI's from week to week, confident process will take care of results.

It’s hard to fault Troy Scoble in the infancy of his Bloods’ reign with the club’s unbeaten, superior percentage record from its opening four games.

Only North Ballarat gave them a scare getting within a goal despite the Bloods leading all day.

It's hoped more broadly the same challenges for the Bloods will come in the form of the Kangas because let's face it - only North Ballarat, East Point, Darley and Sunbury look capable, on exposed form, of upsetting Scoble's scrupulous plan.

Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody will be no stranger to the potency of the Bloods outfit especially forward of the ball.

Denying dangerous quartet Braedan Kight (25 goals, comp rank #1), Ryan Carter (12, #9), Kyle Borg (10, #13) and Ryan Davis (8, #15) opportunities around goal won't be easy.

Sure, the direct matchups will have a say, but it's the source, the providers that will determine this result - namely the midfield.

If, and only if, the Kangas midfield can win stoppage and clearance numbers efficiently enough to limit turnover can they be given a chance. And it's in this area they match up well against the Bloods - The Johnston brothers, Mikitja Rottumah-Onus, Alex Molan (if available) and Joe Dodd are more than capable of getting the numbers to warrant advantage.

It's how efficiently they avoid an unforgiving, rebounding Bloods half back line that will ask more their execution and decision-making abilities.

The Kangas have two primary threats forward, Strahan Robinson (14 goals, rank #5), and Bryson McDougall (12, #10) both of whom proved a handful at their last meet, on the back of an efficient midfield without Jordy Johnston.

The result will tell us more about East Point and their credentials after their horror first round failure against the similar opposition Darley, a month ago.

PLAYER WATCH
Braedan Kight (Melton)
Dangerous x-factor forward leading the Tony Locket Medal with 25 goals (4 games). Averaging just under 17 disposals per game means Kight is kicking a goal every 2.68 possessions (avg). Look out!

Matty Johnston (East Point)
Key driver in the Kangas upset Semi-Final win over the Bloods at their last meet. The classy midfielder is averaging 20 kicks, 13 handballs, 7 marks, 7 clearances and 5 inside 50's in 2024.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Similar to the East Point scenario, this game’s outcome will tell us more about high flying Sunbury (4-0) on their home deck when they meet reigning premiers Darley (4-1).

The Lions have done everything right under new coach Matt White, making the adjustment to team planning and preferred structure look seamless.

Nonetheless, four games in is not enough sample size to get carried away with any forecasting just yet.

Let's see how the Lions perform under the pressure against the likes of Darley, East Point at Eastern Oval (Round 8) and league heavyweights Melton (Round 10).

I'm happy to give decimated North Ballarat a mulligan for their effort last week, due largely for health reasons.

So that leaves the Lions form with a win over Redan (25 points), Melton South and Bacchus Marsh.

In fairness, each of the Lions’ four wins have shown compliance and an heir of dominance that Devils’ coach Dan Jordan cannot ignore.

While Lions forward duo Jake Sutton (20 goals, comp rank #2) and Mitch McLean (13, #6) make up 44% of all Sunbury goals to warrant like for like attention, it's the efficiency of their defence that has seen the greatest improvement on last year.

Tyson Lever, Nathan Wood, Jack Newitt, Jack Hannett, Sean Reilly, newcomers Dean Muir and Jordan Tentonello make up an impressive back seven option and are clearly thriving under the team defence theory with high efficiency numbers.

Their ability to exit cleanly at low risk has been a feature- Wood, Hannett and Muir especially. You know what you're getting with Lever - essentially the licensed beneficiary to rebound pressured or bombed entries with his customary intercept mark game.

However, the likelihood of an experienced Devils’ midfield succumbing to the Lions intentions are slim at best.

In form trio Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham remain the competition yardstick of midfield combos and will stretch the Lions core for output with and without the ball.

The dominance at their two previous meets was palpable, two wins for the Devils by a margin of 40+ points.

Any midfield advantage for the Devils will equate to considerably more entries inside 50 to a feverish forward line eager to put a dent in the Lions new found levels of trust and confidence.

For the record, Sunbury (4-0) have won 15.5 of their 16 quarters to date (comp rank #1), Darley 15/20 (comp rank #3).

PLAYER WATCH
Mitch McLean (Sunbury)
Confident pressure small forward enjoying weight of Lions forward 50 entries. Kicked 13 goals from 4 games (comp rank #6)

Brett Bewley (Darley)
The reigning dual Henderson Medalist even had Lions fans in awe at his last trip to the Clarke Oval with 50 possessions and six goals out of the midfield. Ridiculous numbers!

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Expect Bacchus Marsh (2-3) to consolidate with back-to-back wins and square their win/loss ledger under new coach Dennis Armfield when they host the embattled Panthers at Maddingley Park.

Ironically, it was this corresponding fixture last year that Melton South won their only quarter of the season after leading the Cobras 3.2 to 1.5 at the first change in Round 9.

As it stands, since the beginning of the 2023 season Melton South have won just one of 80 quarters.

To be frank, this meeting gives every indication of how far for the Cobras.

Armfield will not be taking anything for granted as the Cobras remain a work in progress themselves striving for the complete four quarter performance under the former Carlton utility.

There were many encouraging signs for the Cobras witnessed on the road last week in the club’s big win over Sebastopol.

Surely the group needs little motivation to build on those habits in front of a home crowd given a likely win will see them inside the top six come 5pm ahead of their bye in Round 7.

The Cobras, as their form suggests, can vary from matching it with the best for periods by taking the game on with their encouraging run and carry with the ball and frantic pressure to a stagnant, insular brand Armfield is desperate eradicate.

Count on more of the 'positive' Cobras against the struggling Panthers, an all-in attempt to peak again with an eye toward adding another layer of belief and confidence that will prepare them mentally post bye.

Looking forward to seeing the potency, discipline and isolation of the Cobras front half and what that can amount to.

Surely the team first theme will prevail over the want of any individual's agenda and that be validated on the scoreboard.

Given the right service and weight of entries a compliant Cobras outfit could eye something in the 25-goal range on the scoreboard.

For Travis Hodgson's Melton South, another tough day at the office is expected but they can take solace getting more games into progressive young talent, remaining on the path of increased sense and purpose at the level.

PLAYER WATCH  
Dennis Armfield (Bacchus Marsh)
Despite his primary role as coach the former Carlton player is averaging a handy 16 disposals and 5.4 score involvements. Also 8 goals, 5 games (comp rank #14)

Cody Chapman (Melton South)
An injury interrupted start to the season has since witnessed a positive return for the Panthers Captain - above average for disposals (19) and elite for tackles (6.7)

SCOOP’S TIP
Baccus Marsh

Despite a 66-point loss to Darley last week Gary Learmonth’s young Lions will look to replicate their efforts from the last three quarters when they host Lake Wendouree at City Oval.

While the Lions will again be without a few prime movers, they're not short on quality young depth that can come in and fill a role.

At least 10 Under 19 eligible players including two Under 17s tested their mettle against the Devils and performed admirably. Enough to carry further confidence into this matchup against the winless Lakers.

Lions’ forwards Grant Bell (19 goals) and Marty Boyer (7 goals) will look to bounce back and fill their pockets after a tough day at the office in Round 5.

Expect them to be up and about wreaking havoc with a weight of forward 50 entries that will provide them with every chance hitting the scoreboard.

Tipping Lakers duo Brayden Helyar and Angus Gove might be set the task of containment. Both have enjoyed solid starts to their respective seasons despite the 0-5 narrative.

Lakers big men Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty will enjoy a distinct height advantage in the ruck in the absence of Taj Bond who is subject to availability with his Coates Talent League commitments.

Looking forward to seeing if Bailey Thompson can add to his innate ability of hitting the scoreboard.

The wiry forward/mid has 12 goals (comp rank #7) to his name from five games and has impressed.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown will be wanting a response from his midfield this week up against a youthful Lions combo with the exception of experienced campaigner Lachie George.

Both sides will again have the opportunity to explore the potential of their young groups in what should be an entertaining watch for those in attendance.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, the Lions look well ahead in the progress stakes, hence their unofficial warm favorites tag.

PLAYER WATCH
Rory Gunsser (Redan)
Excellent inside fifty kick averages elite for kicks (22.2) and inside 50's (5.2)

Will Clark (Lake Wendouree)
Ranks elite for average kicks (19) and turnovers (4.4).

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan